Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Wilson for 2.2 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.27, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060.
Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Penalty minutes 117, Offensive-zone time 42.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.20
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.83 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.37 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 4G 8A, 61 SOG · Wilson 9G 12A, 67 SOG
Provorov blocked 3 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 4 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
22:27 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–27
- 38.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–1.2
- 45.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | CBJ 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-07 | CBJ 0–2 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-11-24 | CBJ 1–5 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-24 | CBJ 1–5 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-13 | CBJ 4–1 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-12 | CBJ 7–0 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-12 | CBJ 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-02 | CBJ 2–7 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-21 | CBJ 2–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-11-18 | CBJ 3–4 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-04 | CBJ 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-14 | PHI 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 34 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Wilson done against each other?
- In 34 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 14–20. Provorov had 12 points (4 goals) and Wilson had 21 (9 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →