Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jacob Trouba vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82.

Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Trouba has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Trouba's 1.9.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Trouba's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.052, Hits 143, Blocked shots 149.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Top skating speed 24.8, 20+ mph bursts 455.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jacob Trouba

1.82

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTroubaMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.231.49
Assists (+1)0.290.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.46
Hits (+0.1)0.180.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.890.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Trouba vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TroubaMacKinnon
4Team record in 15 meetings11
9Points in those games21

Trouba 2G 7A, 38 SOG · MacKinnon 6G 15A, 61 SOG

3Hits on each other0
6Shots blocked by the other1

Trouba blocked 6 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Trouba's.

0Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Trouba's side)

26:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Trouba's side

Shot attempts
24–32
42.9%
Expected goals
0.5–1.7
23.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jacob Trouba and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreTroubaMacKinnon
2026-03-03ANA 1–5 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-21ANA 2–1 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-11ANA 1–4 COL0G 1A 3S0G 3A 3S
2024-12-20ANA 2–4 COL0G 1A 1S1G 2A 3S
2022-10-25NYR 2–3 COL0G 1A 8S0G 1A 5S
2021-12-14NYR 2–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 5S
2021-12-08NYR 3–7 COL1G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S
2020-01-07NYR 5–3 COL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2019-04-04WPG 2–3 COL0G 1A 3S0G 1A 6S
2019-02-20WPG 1–7 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2019-02-14WPG 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 7S
2019-01-08WPG 7–4 COL1G 2A 3S0G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TroubaMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jacob Trouba

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 pts

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Jacob Trouba or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82. Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jacob Trouba or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Trouba and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Trouba's team went 4–11. Trouba had 9 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 21 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →