Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jake McCabe vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week McCabe has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project McCabe for 1.7 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McCabe's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.040, Plus/minus +3, Hits 104.

Rielly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Ascension score 60, Offensive-zone time 43.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake McCabe

1.75

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake McCabe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcCabeRielly
Goals (+2)0.110.25
Assists (+1)0.220.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.100.17
Hits (+0.1)0.130.05
Blocks (+0.5)1.190.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McCabe vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McCabeRielly
2Team record in 9 meetings7
3Points in those games9

McCabe 1G 2A, 9 SOG · Rielly 1G 8A, 22 SOG

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

McCabe blocked 1 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 0 of McCabe's.

0Goals set up by the other2

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

49:51 at 5-on-5 over 34 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
52–69
43.0%
Expected goals
2.9–4.8
37.3%
Goals
2–5

Games against each other

Games between Jake McCabe and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreMcCabeRielly
2023-02-19CHI 5–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 3S
2023-02-15CHI 2–5 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2021-12-11CHI 4–5 TOR1G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2021-10-27CHI 2–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2019-12-17BUF 3–5 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2019-11-30BUF 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2019-11-29BUF 6–4 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2019-03-02BUF 2–5 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2019-02-25BUF 3–5 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McCabeRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake McCabe

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to D
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to D
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts

FAQ

Should I start Jake McCabe or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake McCabe or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McCabe and Rielly done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, McCabe's team went 2–7. McCabe had 3 points (1 goals) and Rielly had 9 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →