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Who to start · 2025-26

Jalen Chatfield vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jalen Chatfield's 0.89.

Chatfield had 17 points in 72 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Chatfield has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Chatfield's 1.1.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Chatfield's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.011, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06, Shorthanded points 0.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.3, Luck Meter +52, Power-play share 79.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jalen Chatfield

0.89

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromChatfieldMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.051.49
Assists (+1)0.180.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.46
Hits (+0.1)0.060.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.470.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Chatfield vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ChatfieldMacKinnon
4Team record in 9 meetings5
0Points in those games14

Chatfield 0G 0A, 14 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 10A, 35 SOG

3Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Chatfield blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Chatfield's.

0Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Chatfield's side)

10:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Chatfield's side

Shot attempts
6–13
31.6%
Expected goals
0.5–0.8
38.0%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Jalen Chatfield and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreChatfieldMacKinnon
2026-01-03CAR 3–5 COL0G 0A 2S1G 3A 2S
2025-10-23CAR 5–4 COL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2024-12-05CAR 5–3 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-09CAR 4–6 COL0G 0A 2S1G 3A 7S
2024-02-08CAR 5–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-21CAR 4–6 COL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2022-11-17CAR 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-12CAR 1–4 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2022-03-10CAR 2–0 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ChatfieldMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jalen Chatfield

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Jalen Chatfield or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jalen Chatfield's 0.89. Chatfield had 17 points in 72 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jalen Chatfield or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Chatfield and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Chatfield's team went 4–5. Chatfield had 0 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 14 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →