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Who to start · 2025-26

John Tavares vs Vince Dunn

John TavaresJohn TavaresMaple Leafs · CentrevsVince DunnVince DunnKraken · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.

Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Tavares has 1 game left; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.

John Tavares has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tavares's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Hits 74.

Dunn's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Transition attempts /60 0.38, On-ice PDO 1012.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Tavares

1.80

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTavaresDunn
Goals (+2)0.670.38
Assists (+1)0.490.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.22
Hits (+0.1)0.090.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tavares vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TavaresDunn
7Team record in 14 meetings7
9Points in those games6

Tavares 6G 3A, 30 SOG · Dunn 3G 3A, 32 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Tavares blocked 0 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 1 of Tavares's.

On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)

4:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side

Shot attempts
3–5
37.5%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
60.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between John Tavares and Vince Dunn
DateScoreTavaresDunn
2026-01-29TOR 2–5 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-18TOR 3–4 SEA2G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-02-06TOR 3–1 SEA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2023-11-30TOR 4–3 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-26TOR 5–1 SEA1G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-01-05TOR 1–5 SEA1G 0A 3S1G 2A 3S
2022-03-08TOR 6–4 SEA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-14TOR 6–2 SEA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2019-12-07TOR 5–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-07TOR 2–3 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-19TOR 2–3 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2018-10-20TOR 1–4 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TavaresDunn

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Tavares

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to C
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to D
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to D

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start John Tavares or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Tavares or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Tavares leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tavares and Dunn done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 7–7. Tavares had 9 points (6 goals) and Dunn had 6 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →