Who to start · 2025-26
J.T. Miller vs Justin Faulk
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.
This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Faulk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Faulk for 1.8 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
J.T. Miller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Miller's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Scoring chances 52.3%, High-danger chances 54.5%.
Faulk's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.5, Luck Meter +62, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Justin Faulk
1.81
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Miller | Faulk |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.79 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Miller vs Faulk
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Miller 7G 12A, 42 SOG · Faulk 1G 5A, 35 SOG
Miller blocked 2 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 3 of Miller's.
On the ice against each other (Miller's side)
12:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Miller's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–18
- 37.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.7
- 58.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Miller | Faulk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | NYR 2–0 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-18 | NYR 2–1 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-27 | VAN 5–2 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-27 | VAN 5–0 STL | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-28 | VAN 5–6 STL | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-02-23 | VAN 3–2 STL | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-19 | VAN 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-30 | VAN 3–4 STL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-28 | VAN 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2020-01-27 | VAN 3–1 STL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-11-05 | VAN 1–2 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-10-17 | VAN 4–3 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Justin Faulk
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start J.T. Miller or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, J.T. Miller or Justin Faulk?
- On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Miller and Faulk done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 11–5. Miller had 19 points (7 goals) and Faulk had 6 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →