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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Mitch Marner

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsMitch MarnerMitch MarnerGolden Knights · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Hits 123.

Marner's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Goals above expected +2.1, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerMarner
Goals (+2)0.420.52
Assists (+1)0.440.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.21
Hits (+0.1)0.180.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerMarner
12Team record in 29 meetings17
25Points in those games26

Miller 11G 14A, 56 SOG · Marner 4G 22A, 78 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other1

Miller's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Miller's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18)

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other1

Miller blocked 3 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 1 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

7:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
3–4
42.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
56.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Mitch Marner
DateScoreMillerMarner
2025-12-07NYR 2–3 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-11-18NYR 2–3 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-20NYR 3–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-28NYR 2–3 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-11VAN 3–0 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-20VAN 6–4 TOR1G 1A 1S1G 1A 5S
2023-11-11VAN 2–5 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-04VAN 4–1 TOR1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-12VAN 2–3 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2022-03-05VAN 6–4 TOR1G 1A 1S0G 1A 4S
2022-02-12VAN 3–2 TOR1G 1A 1S0G 0A 5S
2021-05-01VAN 1–5 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S

Latest 12 of 29 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerMarner

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Marner done against each other?
In 29 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 12–17. Miller had 25 points (11 goals) and Marner had 26 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Marner?
Against each other, Miller has won 1 and Marner 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →