Who to start · 2025-26
J.T. Miller vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Miller had 53 points in 68 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Miller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Hits 123.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Plus/minus +57, Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +4.3.
Head to head on the dot, Miller leads MacKinnon 39–25.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Miller | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Miller vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Miller 8G 7A, 33 SOG · MacKinnon 9G 13A, 82 SOG
Miller's offensive zone 9–8 · neutral 19–10 · Miller's defensive zone 11–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Miller's side)
23:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side
- Shot attempts
- 24–31
- 43.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–1.8
- 20.5%
- Goals
- 0–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Miller | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | NYR 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 2G 0A 7S |
| 2025-11-20 | NYR 3–6 COL | 2G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-12-16 | VAN 3–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-13 | VAN 3–4 COL | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-02-20 | VAN 1–3 COL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 10S |
| 2023-11-22 | VAN 2–5 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2023-01-20 | VAN 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 10S |
| 2023-01-05 | VAN 4–2 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-23 | VAN 4–3 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 8S |
| 2022-03-23 | VAN 3–1 COL | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2020-03-06 | VAN 6–3 COL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2019-11-16 | VAN 4–5 COL | 0G 1A 4S | 2G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start J.T. Miller or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, J.T. Miller or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Miller and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 7–9. Miller had 15 points (8 goals) and MacKinnon had 22 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Miller has won 39 and MacKinnon 25 of their 64 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →