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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Sebastian Aho

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsSebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Top skating speed 22.8.

Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Aho 28–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerAho
Goals (+2)0.420.72
Assists (+1)0.440.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.25
Hits (+0.1)0.180.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerAho
9Team record in 18 meetings9
17Points in those games14

Miller 6G 11A, 42 SOG · Aho 7G 7A, 47 SOG

28Faceoffs against each other11

Miller's offensive zone 6–4 · neutral 6–3 · Miller's defensive zone 16–4 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other1

Miller blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

23:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
15–26
36.6%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
47.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreMillerAho
2026-02-05NYR 0–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-26NYR 4–2 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 2A 4S
2025-11-04NYR 0–3 CAR0G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-12NYR 3–7 CAR1G 1A 6S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-10VAN 0–2 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-28VAN 3–4 CAR0G 2A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-02-06VAN 3–2 CAR1G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-09VAN 4–3 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-15VAN 4–3 CAR1G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S
2022-10-24VAN 2–3 CAR2G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2022-01-15VAN 1–4 CAR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2020-02-02VAN 3–4 CAR0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerAho

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Aho done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 9–9. Miller had 17 points (6 goals) and Aho had 14 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Aho?
Against each other, Miller has won 28 and Aho 11 of their 39 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →