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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Thomas Harley

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123, Scoring chances 52.3%.

Harley's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, On-ice PDO 1010, Luck Meter −8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerHarley
Goals (+2)0.420.16
Assists (+1)0.440.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.16
Hits (+0.1)0.180.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.99

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerHarley
3Team record in 6 meetings3
6Points in those games2

Miller 4G 2A, 14 SOG · Harley 1G 1A, 9 SOG

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

4:59 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
5–2
71.4%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Thomas Harley
DateScoreMillerHarley
2026-04-11NYR 0–2 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-28VAN 1–3 DAL1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-21VAN 3–4 DAL0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2023-11-04VAN 2–0 DAL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-26VAN 4–1 DAL1G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-07VAN 6–3 DAL2G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerHarley

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Harley done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 3–3. Miller had 6 points (4 goals) and Harley had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →