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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Vladimir Tarasenko

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsVladimir TarasenkoVladimir TarasenkoWild · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 547, Hardest shot 102.6, 20+ mph bursts 147.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.82

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.500.61
Assists (+1)0.530.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.20
Hits (+0.1)0.180.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerTarasenko
4Team record in 12 meetings8
8Points in those games14

Miller 4G 4A, 33 SOG · Tarasenko 6G 8A, 31 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Miller blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 0 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

5:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
10–6
62.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.4
53.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreMillerTarasenko
2026-03-14NYR 4–2 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-20NYR 1–3 MIN0G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-02VAN 6–3 OTT1G 1A 2S2G 0A 3S
2023-11-09VAN 5–2 OTT1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-15VAN 4–6 NYR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-12-19VAN 1–5 STL0G 0A 4S0G 3A 2S
2022-03-30VAN 3–4 STL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-28VAN 1–4 STL0G 0A 5S2G 1A 5S
2019-10-17VAN 4–3 STL1G 0A 4S1G 0A 7S
2019-03-23TBL 3–4 STL0G 1A 1S1G 1A 4S
2019-02-07TBL 0–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2017-10-10NYR 1–3 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 4–8. Miller had 8 points (4 goals) and Tarasenko had 14 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →