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Who to start · 2025-26

Justin Faulk vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.

Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Faulk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Faulk's 1.8.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Faulk's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.7, 20+ mph bursts 69, Transition attempts /60 0.52.

Marner's biggest edges: Sequence xG 56.9%, Scoring chances 55.7%, Expected goals 57.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Justin Faulk

1.81

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFaulkMarner
Goals (+2)0.380.52
Assists (+1)0.290.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.100.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.790.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Faulk vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FaulkMarner
9Team record in 17 meetings8
6Points in those games14

Faulk 2G 4A, 40 SOG · Marner 4G 10A, 40 SOG

5Hits on each other0
4Shots blocked by the other0

Faulk blocked 4 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Faulk's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Faulk's side)

22:46 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Faulk's side

Shot attempts
16–26
38.1%
Expected goals
0.4–1.3
24.9%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Justin Faulk and Mitch Marner
DateScoreFaulkMarner
2026-01-10STL 2–4 VGK0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2026-01-02STL 4–3 VGK1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-15STL 1–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-02STL 4–2 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 0A 6S
2024-10-24STL 5–1 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-03STL 6–5 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-12-27STL 4–5 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-01-15STL 5–6 TOR0G 1A 3S1G 1A 2S
2022-02-19STL 6–3 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2019-12-07STL 2–5 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 2A 0S
2019-10-07STL 3–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2019-04-02CAR 4–1 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FaulkMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Justin Faulk or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Justin Faulk or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Faulk and Marner done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 9–8. Faulk had 6 points (2 goals) and Marner had 14 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →