Who to start · 2025-26
Justin Faulk vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.
Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Faulk has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Faulk's 1.5.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Faulk's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.6, Luck Meter +78, Blocked shots 132.
Aho's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Scoring chances 57.5%, Fenwick 60.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Justin Faulk
1.81
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Faulk | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.79 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Faulk vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Faulk 1G 2A, 15 SOG · Aho 3G 5A, 20 SOG
Faulk blocked 2 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Faulk's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Faulk's side)
2:17 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Faulk's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–2
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 78.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Faulk | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | STL 3–0 CAR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-17 | STL 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-19 | STL 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2023-02-21 | STL 1–4 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-12-01 | STL 4–6 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-26 | STL 2–7 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-11-13 | STL 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2020-02-04 | STL 6–3 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Justin Faulk
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.5 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Justin Faulk or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Justin Faulk or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Faulk and Aho done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 3–5. Faulk had 3 points (1 goals) and Aho had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →