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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Marner's 2.3.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 162, Ascension score 58, Hardest shot 90.9.

Marner's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Faceoffs won 150, Blocked shots 46.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorMarner
Goals (+2)1.020.52
Assists (+1)0.670.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.21
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorMarner
7Team record in 23 meetings16
26Points in those games26

Connor 14G 12A, 74 SOG · Marner 8G 18A, 54 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

12:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
15–9
62.5%
Expected goals
0.6–0.2
74.4%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Mitch Marner
DateScoreConnorMarner
2026-04-13WPG 2–6 VGK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-03-24WPG 4–1 VGK1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-06WPG 3–4 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2024-12-23WPG 5–2 TOR2G 2A 4S0G 1A 4S
2024-10-28WPG 4–6 TOR2G 2A 7S0G 1A 4S
2024-01-27WPG 2–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2024-01-24WPG 0–1 TOR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-19WPG 1–4 TOR1G 0A 6S1G 0A 1S
2022-10-22WPG 1–4 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2021-04-24WPG 1–4 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2021-04-22WPG 3–5 TOR1G 0A 6S2G 1A 3S
2021-04-15WPG 5–2 TOR2G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LW
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LW

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RW
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Marner done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 7–16. Connor had 26 points (14 goals) and Marner had 26 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →