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Who to start · 2025-26

Mathew Barzal vs Vladimir Tarasenko

In 2025-26, Mathew Barzal scored 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Barzal has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left. We project Barzal for 1.8 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.5.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Barzal's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, 20+ mph bursts 313, Plus/minus +10.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Luck Meter +35.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarzalTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.470.61
Assists (+1)0.650.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barzal vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarzalTarasenko
9Team record in 14 meetings5
9Points in those games11

Barzal 3G 6A, 27 SOG · Tarasenko 6G 5A, 40 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Barzal's side)

7:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Barzal's side

Shot attempts
4–5
44.4%
Expected goals
0.0–0.4
6.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mathew Barzal and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreBarzalTarasenko
2026-01-10NYI 4–3 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-07NYI 2–5 MIN0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-22NYI 0–1 DET0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-28NYI 3–2 FLA1G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-24NYI 5–3 OTT1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-26NYI 3–2 OTT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-06NYI 4–7 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-03NYI 5–2 STL0G 1A 3S1G 1A 5S
2022-04-09NYI 1–6 STL0G 0A 0S1G 2A 1S
2019-10-14NYI 3–2 STL1G 1A 4S1G 0A 5S
2019-01-15NYI 2–1 STL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-01-05NYI 4–3 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarzalTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.8 pts

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.5 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Mathew Barzal or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Mathew Barzal scored 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mathew Barzal or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barzal and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Barzal's team went 9–5. Barzal had 9 points (3 goals) and Tarasenko had 11 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →