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Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Boldy vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Boldy has 1 game left; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.

Matt Boldy has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Boldy's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.56, Hardest shot 93.6, Luck Meter +65.

Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, High-danger chances 59.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Boldy

2.55

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBoldyMarner
Goals (+2)1.040.52
Assists (+1)0.530.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.21
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.360.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Boldy vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BoldyMarner
5Team record in 10 meetings5
7Points in those games11

Boldy 4G 3A, 27 SOG · Marner 2G 9A, 18 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)

7:43 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side

Shot attempts
5–11
31.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.7
21.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Boldy and Mitch Marner
DateScoreBoldyMarner
2026-03-06MIN 4–2 VGK0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-12-29MIN 5–2 VGK1G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-16MIN 3–2 VGK0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-29MIN 3–1 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-03MIN 2–1 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-19MIN 3–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-10-14MIN 4–7 TOR1G 0A 5S0G 2A 2S
2023-02-24MIN 1–2 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-25MIN 3–4 TOR1G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2022-02-24MIN 1–3 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 2A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BoldyMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Boldy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Matt Boldy or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Boldy or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Boldy and Marner done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 5–5. Boldy had 7 points (4 goals) and Marner had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →