Who to start · 2025-26
Mattias Samuelsson vs Mikhail Sergachev
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.
This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.
Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Hits 132, Plus/minus +41.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Power-play share 68.9%, Offensive-zone time 43.8%, Power-play time per game 3:08.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.
| Points per game from | Samuelsson | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.34 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.81 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Sergachev
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Samuelsson 0G 2A, 11 SOG · Sergachev 2G 5A, 17 SOG
Samuelsson blocked 1 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 1 of Samuelsson's.
On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)
15:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–9
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–0.2
- 90.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Samuelsson | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | BUF 2–5 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-11-04 | BUF 1–2 UTA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-20 | BUF 2–5 UTA | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-17 | BUF 3–2 TBL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-23 | BUF 6–5 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-04 | BUF 5–3 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-28 | BUF 5–6 TBL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2022-04-10 | BUF 0–5 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Mikhail Sergachev?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Samuelsson and Sergachev done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 3–5. Samuelsson had 2 points (0 goals) and Sergachev had 7 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →