Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Moritz Seider

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Seider had 60 in 82 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Seider has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Seider for 2.7 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.

Moritz Seider has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, On-ice PDO 1036, Top skating speed 22.8.

Seider's biggest edges: Power-play share 65.5%, Power-play time per game 3:09, Offensive-zone time 43.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Moritz Seider

2.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Moritz Seider has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonSeider
Goals (+2)0.440.23
Assists (+1)0.340.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.23
Hits (+0.1)0.160.15
Blocks (+0.5)0.931.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Seider

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonSeider
6Team record in 11 meetings5
3Points in those games11

Samuelsson 2G 1A, 16 SOG · Seider 2G 9A, 29 SOG

0Hits on each other1
4Shots blocked by the other1

Samuelsson blocked 4 of Seider's shots; Seider blocked 1 of Samuelsson's.

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

23:03 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
14–21
40.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.8
39.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Moritz Seider
DateScoreSamuelssonSeider
2026-03-27BUF 2–5 DET0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-11-15BUF 5–4 DET1G 0A 1S0G 2A 4S
2025-10-22BUF 4–2 DET0G 1A 1S0G 0A 5S
2025-03-12BUF 3–7 DET0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-11-02BUF 1–2 DET0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-26BUF 5–3 DET0G 0A 4S0G 2A 3S
2023-12-05BUF 3–5 DET0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-04-06BUF 7–6 DET0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2022-12-29BUF 6–3 DET0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-30BUF 5–4 DET1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-01-17BUF 2–3 DET0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonSeider

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Moritz Seider

2games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.7 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Moritz Seider in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Seider had 60 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Moritz Seider?
On 2025-26 numbers, Moritz Seider leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Seider done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 6–5. Samuelsson had 3 points (2 goals) and Seider had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →