Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Rickard Rakell

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rakell has 1 left. We project Rakell for 2.1 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.

Rickard Rakell has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.49, Plus/minus +41, Faceoffs won 0.

Rakell's biggest edges: Power-play share 72.6%, Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Power-play time per game 3:15.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rickard Rakell has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonRakell
Goals (+2)0.440.75
Assists (+1)0.340.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.27
Hits (+0.1)0.160.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Rakell

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonRakell
4Team record in 9 meetings5
4Points in those games7

Samuelsson 2G 2A, 15 SOG · Rakell 5G 2A, 19 SOG

3Hits on each other3
5Shots blocked by the other2

Samuelsson blocked 5 of Rakell's shots; Rakell blocked 2 of Samuelsson's.

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

4:18 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
1–3
25.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
41.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Rickard Rakell
DateScoreSamuelssonRakell
2026-03-05BUF 5–1 PIT1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-27BUF 7–3 PIT1G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-17BUF 2–5 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-10-16BUF 5–6 PIT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-06BUF 3–1 PIT0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2023-11-11BUF 0–4 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-10BUF 1–3 PIT0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-12-09BUF 3–4 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2022-03-23BUF 4–3 PIT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonRakell

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.1 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Rickard Rakell in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Rickard Rakell?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rickard Rakell leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Rakell done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 4–5. Samuelsson had 4 points (2 goals) and Rakell had 7 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →