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Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Tyler Bertuzzi

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Bertuzzi has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Bertuzzi's 1.6.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 93, Plus/minus +41, Top skating speed 22.8.

Bertuzzi's biggest edges: Power-play share 69.4%, Power-play time per game 3:14, Offensive-zone time 43.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Tyler Bertuzzi

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonBertuzzi
Goals (+2)0.440.71
Assists (+1)0.340.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Bertuzzi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonBertuzzi
6Team record in 7 meetings1
2Points in those games4

Samuelsson 2G 0A, 6 SOG · Bertuzzi 3G 1A, 18 SOG

2Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

15:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
19–10
65.5%
Expected goals
1.2–0.5
71.4%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Tyler Bertuzzi
DateScoreSamuelssonBertuzzi
2026-04-13BUF 5–1 CHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-21BUF 9–3 CHI1G 0A 1S2G 0A 5S
2024-12-27BUF 6–2 CHI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-19BUF 4–2 CHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-21BUF 9–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-30BUF 5–4 DET1G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2022-01-17BUF 2–3 DET0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonBertuzzi

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Tyler Bertuzzi

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Tyler Bertuzzi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Tyler Bertuzzi?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Bertuzzi done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 6–1. Samuelsson had 2 points (2 goals) and Bertuzzi had 4 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →