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Who to start · 2025-26

Mikhail Sergachev vs Parker Kelly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.

Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.

This week Sergachev has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.

Parker Kelly has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Power-play share 68.9%, Power-play time per game 3:08, Power-play points 26.

Kelly's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.5%, Hits 177, Scoring chances 58.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Parker Kelly

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSergachevKelly
Goals (+2)0.240.61
Assists (+1)0.650.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.13
Hits (+0.1)0.060.22
Blocks (+0.5)0.810.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sergachev vs Kelly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SergachevKelly
5Team record in 11 meetings6
8Points in those games3

Sergachev 3G 5A, 28 SOG · Kelly 1G 2A, 7 SOG

2Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Sergachev blocked 0 of Kelly's shots; Kelly blocked 1 of Sergachev's.

On the ice against each other (Sergachev's side)

5:55 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Sergachev's side

Shot attempts
3–5
37.5%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
2.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Mikhail Sergachev and Parker Kelly
DateScoreSergachevKelly
2026-02-25UTA 2–4 COL0G 1A 5S1G 1A 1S
2025-12-23UTA 0–1 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-21UTA 4–3 COL1G 2A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-10-09UTA 1–2 COL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-27UTA 1–4 COL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-12UTA 4–1 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-24UTA 1–5 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-04TBL 6–4 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-15TBL 2–5 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-01TBL 4–3 OTT1G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-01TBL 5–2 OTT1G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SergachevKelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Parker Kelly

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Mikhail Sergachev or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikhail Sergachev or Parker Kelly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sergachev and Kelly done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Sergachev's team went 5–6. Sergachev had 8 points (3 goals) and Kelly had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →