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Who to start · 2025-26

Mitch Marner vs Rickard Rakell

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games.

This week Marner has 1 game left; Rakell has 1 left. We project Rakell for 2.1 ESPN points to Marner's 2.0.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Sequence xG 56.9%, Expected goals 57.0%.

Rakell's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.8, Hits 71, Forecheck xG /60 0.35.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rickard Rakell has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarnerRakell
Goals (+2)0.520.75
Assists (+1)0.670.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.27
Hits (+0.1)0.030.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.280.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marner vs Rakell

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarnerRakell
13Team record in 17 meetings4
20Points in those games14

Marner 7G 13A, 50 SOG · Rakell 12G 2A, 49 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Marner blocked 0 of Rakell's shots; Rakell blocked 1 of Marner's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Marner's side)

5:23 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side

Shot attempts
3–4
42.9%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
0.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mitch Marner and Rickard Rakell
DateScoreMarnerRakell
2026-03-12VGK 6–2 PIT1G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-01VGK 0–5 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-02TOR 6–5 PIT0G 1A 0S2G 0A 3S
2024-12-07TOR 2–5 PIT1G 1A 4S1G 1A 3S
2024-10-12TOR 4–2 PIT1G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-04-08TOR 3–2 PIT0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-26TOR 4–1 PIT1G 1A 8S1G 0A 6S
2022-11-15TOR 5–2 PIT1G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-11TOR 2–4 PIT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-26TOR 4–3 ANA1G 1A 6S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-28TOR 5–1 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2020-03-06TOR 1–2 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarnerRakell

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.1 pts

FAQ

Should I start Mitch Marner or Rickard Rakell in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mitch Marner or Rickard Rakell?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marner and Rakell done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 13–4. Marner had 20 points (7 goals) and Rakell had 14 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →