Who to start · 2025-26
Mitch Marner vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Marner has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left. We project Marner for 2.0 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.7.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Plus/minus +17, On-ice PDO 1019.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Transition attempts /60 1.26.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mitch Marner
1.96
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marner | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.69 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marner vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marner 10G 22A, 54 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 5G 10A, 47 SOG
Marner's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 2–1 · Marner's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Marner blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 0 of Marner's.
On the ice against each other (Marner's side)
18:57 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–12
- 61.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.3
- 64.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marner | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | VGK 5–1 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-26 | VGK 3–4 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-03-08 | VGK 2–4 EDM | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-21 | VGK 3–4 EDM | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-01 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-16 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-01-16 | TOR 2–4 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-11 | TOR 7–4 EDM | 1G 3A 5S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-03-01 | TOR 2–5 EDM | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-03-29 | TOR 2–3 EDM | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-03-27 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-03-03 | TOR 6–1 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.7 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mitch Marner or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mitch Marner or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marner and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 15–9. Marner had 32 points (10 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 15 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marner or Nugent-Hopkins?
- Against each other, Marner has won 3 and Nugent-Hopkins 3 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →