Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Sebastian Aho

Nathan MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonAvalanche · CentrevsSebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Goals above expected +4.3, Top skating speed 24.8.

Aho's biggest edges: Shorthanded points 6, Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.053.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMacKinnonAho
Goals (+2)1.490.72
Assists (+1)0.870.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.460.25
Hits (+0.1)0.090.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Nathan MacKinnon and Sebastian Aho have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonAho

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →