Who to start · 2025-26
Ryan O'Reilly vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week O'Reilly has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.5.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 29 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Corsi 52.6%, Plus/minus +8.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Hits 60, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Transition attempts /60 1.12.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ryan O'Reilly
1.98
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | O'Reilly | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.60 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: O'Reilly vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
O'Reilly 1G 11A, 23 SOG · Tarasenko 3G 2A, 31 SOG
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (O'Reilly's side)
15:39 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from O'Reilly's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–13
- 58.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.8
- 57.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | O'Reilly | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | NSH 2–1 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-04 | NSH 5–6 MIN | 0G 3A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-23 | NSH 3–2 MIN | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-04 | NSH 2–3 MIN | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2–5 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-12 | NSH 0–3 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-21 | NSH 3–0 FLA | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-27 | NSH 4–1 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-29 | NSH 3–4 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-13 | TOR 3–2 NYR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-02-03 | BUF 0–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2017-12-10 | BUF 2–3 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 8S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.5 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ryan O'Reilly or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ryan O'Reilly or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 29 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have O'Reilly and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, O'Reilly's team went 5–7. O'Reilly had 12 points (1 goals) and Tarasenko had 5 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →