Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
Harley's biggest edges: Blocked shots 148, On-ice PDO 1010, Top skating speed 22.1.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 3G 4A, 10 SOG · Harley 2G 1A, 9 SOG
Aho blocked 0 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of Aho's.
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
8:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–8
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.3
- 75.4%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | CAR 6–3 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-25 | CAR 2–3 DAL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-21 | CAR 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-25 | CAR 6–4 DAL | 1G 3A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-24 | CAR 1–2 DAL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-13 | CAR 2–4 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Harley done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 3–3. Aho had 7 points (3 goals) and Harley had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →