Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Viktor Arvidsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Arvidsson's 1.6.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Faceoffs won 596.
Arvidsson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1065, Luck Meter +77, Goals above expected +2.7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Viktor Arvidsson
1.72
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.39 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Arvidsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 17G 8A, 72 SOG · Arvidsson 3G 5A, 49 SOG
Aho's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Aho's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23)
Aho blocked 0 of Arvidsson's shots; Arvidsson blocked 1 of Aho's.
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
20:02 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 28–15
- 65.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.9
- 56.3%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | CAR 6–5 BOS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-11-01 | CAR 1–2 BOS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-01 | CAR 1–3 EDM | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-22 | CAR 3–2 EDM | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-31 | CAR 5–4 LAK | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-03 | CAR 4–2 LAK | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2021-11-20 | CAR 5–4 LAK | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2021-05-19 · PO | CAR 3–0 NSH | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-05-17 · PO | CAR 5–2 NSH | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-17 | CAR 3–1 NSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-04-15 | CAR 4–1 NSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-03-11 | CAR 5–1 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Viktor Arvidsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.6 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Viktor Arvidsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Arvidsson done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 18–2. Aho had 25 points (17 goals) and Arvidsson had 8 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Arvidsson?
- Against each other, Aho has won 0 and Arvidsson 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →