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Who to start · 2025-26

Sebastian Aho vs Vince Dunn

Sebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · CentrevsVince DunnVince DunnKraken · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.

Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Aho's biggest edges: Fenwick 60.3%, Plus/minus +11, Corsi 61.5%.

Dunn's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1012, Ascension score 54, Luck Meter +4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAhoDunn
Goals (+2)0.720.38
Assists (+1)0.590.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.22
Hits (+0.1)0.070.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Aho vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AhoDunn
5Team record in 12 meetings7
10Points in those games4

Aho 3G 7A, 37 SOG · Dunn 1G 3A, 22 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Aho's side)

16:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side

Shot attempts
19–6
76.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.4
61.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Sebastian Aho and Vince Dunn
DateScoreAhoDunn
2026-03-02CAR 1–2 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-10CAR 3–2 SEA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-03CAR 2–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-26CAR 3–2 SEA0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-17CAR 5–1 SEA1G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-06CAR 3–2 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2021-11-24CAR 1–2 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2020-02-04CAR 3–6 STL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2019-03-01CAR 5–2 STL1G 1A 5S1G 1A 3S
2018-11-06CAR 1–4 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2017-12-30CAR 2–3 STL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2017-10-27CAR 1–2 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AhoDunn

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to D
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to D

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Sebastian Aho or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Aho and Dunn done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 5–7. Aho had 10 points (3 goals) and Dunn had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →