Who to start · 2025-26
Tage Thompson vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Thompson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Thompson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.35, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.008, Offensive-zone start % 60.8%.
Wilson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.0, Plus/minus +15, Forecheck xG /60 0.51.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Thompson | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.93 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Thompson vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Thompson 7G 6A, 63 SOG · Wilson 12G 5A, 46 SOG
Thompson blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 3 of Thompson's.
On the ice against each other (Thompson's side)
18:52 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Thompson's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–15
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–1.1
- 56.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Thompson | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | BUF 2–6 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-12 | BUF 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-01 | BUF 4–3 WSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-30 | BUF 8–5 WSH | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-06 | BUF 4–3 WSH | 1G 0A 6S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-14 | BUF 2–4 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-11 | BUF 4–2 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-15 | BUF 4–5 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-26 | BUF 7–4 WSH | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-25 | BUF 3–4 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-11-08 | BUF 3–5 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2021-04-15 | BUF 5–2 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tage Thompson or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tage Thompson or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Thompson and Wilson done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Thompson's team went 7–15. Thompson had 13 points (7 goals) and Wilson had 17 (12 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →