Edgehalla

How the Predators match lines at 5-on-5: who they send against the other team's top line, how hard they match at home, where they change last, versus on the road, and which players carry the toughest minutes. This is the Last-Change Fingerprint.

  • With last change at home, the Predators are a middle-of-the-pack line matcher (19th of 32 by matching intensity).
  • At home their top line sees the other team's top line 1.14× as often as random mixing: power against power.

From the last 30 home and 30 road games with shift data (this season and last), as of Oct 4, 2026. Ratios are shrunk toward 1.00 for small samples.

At home: with last change

At home (last change): Predators units (rows) against the opponent's units (columns), as a ratio to random mixing.
PredatorsOpp Line 1Opp Line 2Opp Line 3Opp Line 4Opp Pair 1Opp Pair 2Opp Pair 3
Line 11.141.020.950.811.051.040.88
Line 21.061.060.970.850.981.021.00
Line 30.941.000.991.081.020.971.02
Line 40.760.871.111.350.940.961.16
Pair 11.070.991.000.931.011.010.95
Pair 21.011.070.980.921.010.990.98
Pair 30.890.941.031.210.960.981.07

On the road

On the road: Predators units (rows) against the opponent's units (columns), as a ratio to random mixing.
PredatorsOpp Line 1Opp Line 2Opp Line 3Opp Line 4Opp Pair 1Opp Pair 2Opp Pair 3
Line 11.111.070.970.741.081.020.87
Line 21.001.080.990.890.971.021.02
Line 31.020.940.981.071.010.981.03
Line 40.810.851.091.400.940.981.13
Pair 11.041.050.920.991.011.020.94
Pair 21.030.980.991.001.011.020.96
Pair 30.900.961.121.070.960.931.13

Player competition

Each skater's 5v5 time against each of the opponent's units, as a ratio to random mixing, over his recent games (both venues). Above 1.00 against L1 and P1: he draws top competition.

PlayerRoleGPOpp L1Opp L2Opp L3Opp L4Opp P1Opp P2Opp P3
Mavrik BourqueLine 1 · 14.9 min20.901.111.020.930.961.070.94
Filip ForsbergLine 1 · 14.6 min401.041.050.980.871.061.020.89
Steven StamkosLine 1 · 14.2 min401.321.140.800.461.121.080.73
Ryan O'ReillyLine 2 · 14.2 min401.401.080.800.421.161.030.73
Jonathan MarchessaultLine 2 · 13.3 min400.901.151.010.930.991.060.92
Ross ColtonLine 2 · 12.9 min20.781.111.021.090.901.041.08
Adam EdstromLine 3 · 11.5 min21.110.970.950.971.040.901.05
Jack DruryLine 3 · 11.4 min21.140.960.901.011.060.881.06
Matthew WoodLine 3 · 10.5 min400.730.881.111.480.930.961.19
Alexander KerfootLine 4 · 10.4 min21.080.870.991.131.060.951.05
Nils HoglanderLine 4 · 9.8 min20.770.851.131.410.891.001.17
Roman JosiPair 1 · 18.2 min401.131.030.890.891.021.040.88
Brady SkjeiPair 1 · 17.2 min401.151.030.930.801.051.040.85
Adam WilsbyPair 2 · 16.2 min401.000.980.991.050.990.971.03
Nicolas HaguePair 2 · 15.6 min400.981.031.060.940.990.981.02
Nick PerbixPair 3 · 15.1 min401.001.030.981.011.011.030.93
William TrudeauPair 3 · 12.1 min10.660.921.251.300.910.931.19
Jack AhcanPair 3 · 3.6 min10.820.951.181.090.951.011.08

Every game tonight

These habits drive the Matchup Forecast. It projects which line and pair each player faces tonight, for every game. Also see the Predators line combinations and the methodology.

FAQ

Who do the Predators match against the other team's top line?

At home, with last change, the Predators' pair 1 (D) sees top lines 1.07× as often as random mixing, and among depth forwards line 2 gets the most top-line minutes (1.06×). The full grid and each player's numbers are on this page.

What is a Last-Change Fingerprint?

It's a coach's line-matching habit, measured from shift charts. Each cell compares the 5-on-5 time one of his units spent against one of the opponent's units with what it would have been if he ignored matchups. 1.00× is random mixing, above it is a matchup he seeks, below it one he avoids. It's measured separately at home, where the home coach changes last, and on the road.

How do the Predators' matchups affect fantasy hockey?

A forward who regularly draws the other team's top line and top pair faces tougher competition than his raw numbers suggest. A sheltered line gets softer minutes. Tonight's Matchup Forecast applies these habits to each game's projected lineups.