Calgary Flames Line Matchups
2026-27 · 0-2-0 · 0 pts · 8th Pacific
How the Flames match lines at 5-on-5: who they send against the other team's top line, how hard they match at home, where they change last, versus on the road, and which players carry the toughest minutes. This is the Last-Change Fingerprint.
Tonight
Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken
8:00 PM ETThe Kraken have last change at home. Minutes are expected 5v5 time together; the ratio compares it with coaches ignoring matchups (1.00×).
Flames
- Line 1Gridin – Coronato – Frostvs SEA McMann line 4.3 min (1.09×) · vs SEA Montour pair 5.4 min (1.06×)
- Line 2Backlund – Farabee – Sharangovichvs SEA McMann line 4.3 min (1.20×) · vs SEA Montour pair 5.2 min (1.13×)
- Line 3Strome – TsyplakovNew team · 2 GP with CGY – Klapkavs SEA McMann line 2.9 min (0.92×) · vs SEA Evans pair 4.2 min (1.09×)
- Line 4Honzek – Pospisil – OthmannNew team · 3 GP with CGYvs SEA Wright line 2.9 min (1.42×) · vs SEA Evans pair 3.5 min (1.04×)
- Pair 1Parekh – Whitecloudvs SEA McMann line 5.1 min (1.04×) · vs SEA Montour pair 6.4 min (1.00×)
- Pair 2NemecNew team · 2 GP with CGY – MiddletonNew team · 2 GP with CGYvs SEA McMann line 4.7 min (1.03×) · vs SEA Montour pair 6.0 min (1.01×)
- Pair 3Bahl – Hanleyvs SEA Stephenson line 3.6 min (1.02×) · vs SEA Evans pair 4.9 min (1.01×)
Kraken
- Line 1McMann – Eberle – Beniersvs CGY Gridin line 4.3 min (1.09×) · vs CGY Parekh pair 5.1 min (1.04×)
- Line 2Stephenson – Winterton – Kakkovs CGY Gridin line 3.6 min (1.01×) · vs CGY Nemec pair 4.3 min (1.03×)
- Line 3Gaudreau – Catton – McCannvs CGY Gridin line 3.5 min (1.04×) · vs CGY Parekh pair 4.2 min (1.02×)
- Line 4Wright – SamoskevichNew team · 1 GP with SEA – Meyersvs CGY Honzek line 2.9 min (1.42×) · vs CGY Parekh pair 3.8 min (1.02×)
- Pair 1Montour – Larssonvs CGY Gridin line 5.4 min (1.06×) · vs CGY Parekh pair 6.4 min (1.00×)
- Pair 2Evans – Dunnvs CGY Gridin line 4.9 min (0.98×) · vs CGY Parekh pair 6.0 min (0.99×)
- Pair 3Lindgren – Fleuryvs CGY Gridin line 3.8 min (0.99×) · vs CGY Parekh pair 4.6 min (0.99×)
Full line-vs-line grid
| SEA | Line 1Gridin | Line 2Backlund | Line 3Strome | Line 4Honzek | Pair 1Parekh | Pair 2Nemec | Pair 3Bahl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 McMann | 4.3(1.1) | 4.3(1.2) | 2.9(0.9) | 1.9(0.7) | 5.1(1.0) | 4.7(1.0) | 3.5(0.9) |
| Line 2 Stephenson | 3.6(1.0) | 3.4(1.0) | 2.7(1.0) | 2.4(1.0) | 4.2(0.9) | 4.3(1.0) | 3.6(1.0) |
| Line 3 Gaudreau | 3.5(1.0) | 2.9(0.9) | 2.7(1.0) | 2.3(1.0) | 4.2(1.0) | 4.0(1.0) | 3.3(1.0) |
| Line 4 Wright | 2.4(0.8) | 1.9(0.7) | 2.8(1.1) | 2.9(1.4) | 3.8(1.0) | 3.3(0.9) | 3.5(1.2) |
| Pair 1 Montour | 5.4(1.1) | 5.2(1.1) | 3.7(0.9) | 3.0(0.9) | 6.4(1.0) | 6.0(1.0) | 4.9(1.0) |
| Pair 2 Evans | 4.9(1.0) | 4.2(0.9) | 4.2(1.1) | 3.5(1.0) | 6.0(1.0) | 5.7(1.0) | 4.9(1.0) |
| Pair 3 Lindgren | 3.8(1.0) | 3.3(1.0) | 3.0(1.0) | 2.8(1.1) | 4.6(1.0) | 4.4(1.0) | 3.7(1.0) |
- With last change at home, the Flames are a middle-of-the-pack line matcher (9th of 32 by matching intensity).
- At home their top line sees the other team's top line 1.10× as often as random mixing: power against power.
- The top pair is the shutdown pair at home: 1.11× random mixing against top lines.
- On the road, without last change, their matching fades (intensity 0.05 vs 0.07 at home).
From the last 30 home and 30 road games with shift data (this season and last), as of Oct 4, 2026. Ratios are shrunk toward 1.00 for small samples.
At home: with last change
| Flames | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.10 | 1.08 | 0.98 | 0.76 | 1.05 | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Line 2 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Line 3 | 0.99 | 1.03 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Line 4 | 0.73 | 0.84 | 1.08 | 1.47 | 0.95 | 0.98 | 1.15 |
| Pair 1 | 1.11 | 1.02 | 0.99 | 0.84 | 1.04 | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Pair 2 | 1.06 | 1.07 | 0.98 | 0.87 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| Pair 3 | 0.76 | 0.88 | 1.06 | 1.42 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
On the road
| Flames | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.06 | 0.98 | 1.03 | 0.91 | 1.05 | 1.01 | 0.91 |
| Line 2 | 0.99 | 1.04 | 1.01 | 0.93 | 1.02 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Line 3 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 0.96 | 0.90 | 0.98 | 1.03 | 1.00 |
| Line 4 | 0.86 | 0.91 | 0.96 | 1.31 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 1.16 |
| Pair 1 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| Pair 2 | 1.03 | 1.06 | 0.99 | 0.89 | 1.02 | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Pair 3 | 0.88 | 0.91 | 1.07 | 1.23 | 0.94 | 1.03 | 1.05 |
Player competition
Each skater's 5v5 time against each of the opponent's units, as a ratio to random mixing, over his recent games (both venues). Above 1.00 against L1 and P1: he draws top competition.
| Player | Role | GP | Opp L1 | Opp L2 | Opp L3 | Opp L4 | Opp P1 | Opp P2 | Opp P3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Gridin | Line 1 · 13.7 min | 38 | 0.97 | 1.02 | 1.12 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 1.06 | 1.02 |
| Matt Coronato | Line 1 · 13.4 min | 40 | 1.13 | 1.04 | 0.99 | 0.71 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| Morgan Frost | Line 1 · 12.9 min | 40 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| Mikael Backlund | Line 2 · 12.7 min | 40 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 0.81 | 0.57 | 1.09 | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| Joel Farabee | Line 2 · 11.9 min | 40 | 1.16 | 1.07 | 0.90 | 0.77 | 1.12 | 1.01 | 0.82 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | Line 2 · 11.4 min | 40 | 1.13 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.98 | 1.02 | 1.00 |
| Ryan Strome | Line 3 · 11.0 min | 21 | 1.00 | 1.02 | 1.07 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Maxim Tsyplakov | Line 3 · 10.5 min | 2 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 1.04 | 1.28 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.00 |
| Adam Klapka | Line 3 · 9.9 min | 40 | 0.68 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.55 | 0.97 | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Samuel Honzek | Line 4 · 9.7 min | 20 | 1.14 | 1.05 | 1.02 | 0.66 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| Martin Pospisil | Line 4 · 9.5 min | 24 | 0.73 | 0.87 | 1.01 | 1.59 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| Brennan Othmann | Line 4 · 7.7 min | 3 | 0.70 | 0.92 | 1.15 | 1.34 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Zayne Parekh | Pair 1 · 16.5 min | 38 | 0.79 | 0.84 | 1.18 | 1.35 | 0.87 | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Zach Whitecloud | Pair 1 · 16.4 min | 33 | 1.19 | 1.04 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 1.06 | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Simon Nemec | Pair 2 · 16.3 min | 2 | 0.89 | 0.98 | 1.14 | 1.01 | 1.05 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Jake Middleton | Pair 2 · 14.7 min | 2 | 1.08 | 1.10 | 0.93 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Kevin Bahl | Pair 3 · 14.2 min | 40 | 1.16 | 1.03 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Joel Hanley | Pair 3 · 12.1 min | 40 | 0.74 | 0.87 | 1.08 | 1.49 | 0.90 | 1.02 | 1.14 |
Every game tonight
These habits drive the Matchup Forecast. It projects which line and pair each player faces tonight, for every game. Also see the Flames line combinations and the methodology.
FAQ
Who do the Flames match against the other team's top line?
At home, with last change, the Flames' pair 1 (D) sees top lines 1.11× as often as random mixing, and among depth forwards line 2 gets the most top-line minutes (1.10×). The full grid and each player's numbers are on this page.
What is a Last-Change Fingerprint?
It's a coach's line-matching habit, measured from shift charts. Each cell compares the 5-on-5 time one of his units spent against one of the opponent's units with what it would have been if he ignored matchups. 1.00× is random mixing, above it is a matchup he seeks, below it one he avoids. It's measured separately at home, where the home coach changes last, and on the road.
How do the Flames' matchups affect fantasy hockey?
A forward who regularly draws the other team's top line and top pair faces tougher competition than his raw numbers suggest. A sheltered line gets softer minutes. Tonight's Matchup Forecast applies these habits to each game's projected lineups.