Winnipeg Jets Line Matchups
2026-27 · 0-0-1 · 1 pts · 6th Central
How the Jets match lines at 5-on-5: who they send against the other team's top line, how hard they match at home, where they change last, versus on the road, and which players carry the toughest minutes. This is the Last-Change Fingerprint.
Tonight
Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings
1:00 PM ETThe Red Wings have last change at home. Minutes are expected 5v5 time together; the ratio compares it with coaches ignoring matchups (1.00×).
Jets
- Line 1Scheifele – Connor – Vilardivs DET DeBrincat line 5.5 min (1.20×) · vs DET Seider pair 6.7 min (1.19×)
- Line 2Perfetti – Iafallo – Barronvs DET DeBrincat line 4.4 min (1.06×) · vs DET Johansson pair 5.0 min (1.02×)
- Line 3Lowry – Björck – Niederreitervs DET Finnie line 3.2 min (0.97×) · vs DET Johansson pair 4.4 min (0.98×)
- Line 4Lambert – Rosen – Namestnikovvs DET Appleton line 2.8 min (1.49×) · vs DET Johansson pair 3.9 min (1.41×)
- Pair 1Pionk – Morrisseyvs DET DeBrincat line 6.5 min (1.11×) · vs DET Seider pair 7.5 min (1.04×)
- Pair 2Samberg – DeMelovs DET DeBrincat line 5.9 min (1.05×) · vs DET Seider pair 7.2 min (1.02×)
- Pair 3FerraroNew team · 1 GP with WPG – Bauervs DET Finnie line 2.8 min (0.95×) · vs DET Seider pair 3.8 min (0.92×)
Red Wings
- Line 1DeBrincat – Raymond – Coppvs WPG Scheifele line 5.5 min (1.20×) · vs WPG Pionk pair 6.5 min (1.11×)
- Line 2Finnie – Compher – ArvidssonNew team · 1 GP with DETvs WPG Scheifele line 4.4 min (1.07×) · vs WPG Pionk pair 5.4 min (1.02×)
- Line 3Brandsegg-Nygård – Kasper – KolesarNew team · 1 GP with DETvs WPG Scheifele line 2.9 min (0.91×) · vs WPG Samberg pair 4.0 min (1.00×)
- Line 4Appleton – Rasmussen – Danielsonvs WPG Lambert line 2.8 min (1.49×) · vs WPG Pionk pair 3.1 min (0.88×)
- Pair 1Seider – Chiarotvs WPG Scheifele line 6.7 min (1.19×) · vs WPG Pionk pair 7.5 min (1.04×)
- Pair 2Johansson – Faulkvs WPG Scheifele line 6.0 min (1.11×) · vs WPG Samberg pair 7.1 min (1.03×)
- Pair 3Johansson – Sandin-Pellikkavs WPG Lowry line 4.0 min (1.22×) · vs WPG Pionk pair 4.6 min (0.89×)
Full line-vs-line grid
| DET | Line 1Scheifele | Line 2Perfetti | Line 3Lowry | Line 4Lambert | Pair 1Pionk | Pair 2Samberg | Pair 3Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 DeBrincat | 5.5(1.2) | 4.4(1.1) | 3.1(0.8) | 2.5(0.8) | 6.5(1.1) | 5.9(1.1) | 2.5(0.8) |
| Line 2 Finnie | 4.4(1.1) | 3.8(1.0) | 3.2(1.0) | 2.5(0.9) | 5.4(1.0) | 5.2(1.0) | 2.8(0.9) |
| Line 3 Brandsegg-Nygård | 2.9(0.9) | 2.9(1.0) | 2.8(1.1) | 2.2(1.0) | 4.0(1.0) | 4.0(1.0) | 2.6(1.1) |
| Line 4 Appleton | 1.7(0.6) | 2.3(0.9) | 2.5(1.1) | 2.8(1.5) | 3.1(0.9) | 3.0(0.9) | 2.6(1.4) |
| Pair 1 Seider | 6.7(1.2) | 4.8(0.9) | 4.2(0.9) | 3.4(0.9) | 7.5(1.0) | 7.2(1.0) | 3.8(0.9) |
| Pair 2 Johansson | 6.0(1.1) | 5.0(1.0) | 4.4(1.0) | 3.2(0.8) | 7.0(1.0) | 7.1(1.0) | 3.7(0.9) |
| Pair 3 Johansson | 2.5(0.6) | 3.7(1.0) | 4.0(1.2) | 3.9(1.4) | 4.6(0.9) | 4.5(0.9) | 3.4(1.2) |
- With last change at home, the Jets are one of the most deliberate line matchers in the league (3rd of 32 by matching intensity).
- At home their top line sees the other team's top line 1.15× as often as random mixing: power against power.
- The top pair is the shutdown pair at home: 1.10× random mixing against top lines.
From the last 30 home and 30 road games with shift data (this season and last), as of Oct 4, 2026. Ratios are shrunk toward 1.00 for small samples.
At home: with last change
| Jets | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.15 | 1.08 | 0.89 | 0.79 | 1.08 | 1.03 | 0.84 |
| Line 2 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 0.97 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.00 |
| Line 3 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 1.13 | 1.09 | 0.91 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| Line 4 | 0.76 | 0.89 | 1.06 | 1.39 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 1.13 |
| Pair 1 | 1.10 | 1.06 | 0.92 | 0.88 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| Pair 2 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 0.99 | 0.86 | 1.01 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Pair 3 | 0.76 | 0.85 | 1.14 | 1.38 | 0.93 | 0.97 | 1.14 |
On the road
| Jets | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.15 | 1.09 | 0.91 | 0.74 | 1.17 | 1.04 | 0.72 |
| Line 2 | 0.99 | 1.01 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| Line 3 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 1.07 | 1.14 | 0.89 | 1.01 | 1.16 |
| Line 4 | 0.83 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 1.22 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| Pair 1 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 0.98 | 0.93 | 1.04 | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| Pair 2 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 1.00 | 0.97 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Pair 3 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 1.18 | 0.93 | 0.96 | 1.14 |
Player competition
Each skater's 5v5 time against each of the opponent's units, as a ratio to random mixing, over his recent games (both venues). Above 1.00 against L1 and P1: he draws top competition.
| Player | Role | GP | Opp L1 | Opp L2 | Opp L3 | Opp L4 | Opp P1 | Opp P2 | Opp P3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele | Line 1 · 16.0 min | 40 | 1.21 | 1.09 | 0.88 | 0.68 | 1.12 | 1.07 | 0.73 |
| Kyle Connor | Line 1 · 14.6 min | 40 | 1.21 | 1.08 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 1.07 | 0.72 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | Line 1 · 14.1 min | 40 | 1.02 | 1.12 | 0.97 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Cole Perfetti | Line 2 · 13.8 min | 40 | 0.98 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Alex Iafallo | Line 2 · 13.6 min | 40 | 1.22 | 1.03 | 0.88 | 0.73 | 1.03 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| Morgan Barron | Line 2 · 13.2 min | 40 | 0.96 | 0.94 | 0.96 | 1.20 | 0.89 | 1.01 | 1.16 |
| Adam Lowry | Line 3 · 12.8 min | 40 | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| Viggo Björck | Line 3 · 12.4 min | 1 | 0.89 | 1.04 | 1.10 | 1.01 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Nino Niederreiter | Line 3 · 11.2 min | 40 | 0.98 | 0.93 | 1.02 | 1.08 | 0.90 | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Brad Lambert | Line 4 · 10.7 min | 26 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 1.11 | 1.23 | 0.91 | 0.89 | 1.31 |
| Isak Rosen | Line 4 · 10.4 min | 22 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 1.10 | 1.21 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | Line 4 · 9.8 min | 40 | 1.01 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 1.21 | 0.84 | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| Neal Pionk | Pair 1 · 19.3 min | 40 | 1.04 | 1.06 | 0.98 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Josh Morrissey | Pair 1 · 19.2 min | 40 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 0.87 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 0.86 |
| Dylan Samberg | Pair 2 · 18.8 min | 40 | 1.09 | 1.03 | 0.96 | 0.86 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Dylan DeMelo | Pair 2 · 18.6 min | 40 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 1.06 | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Mario Ferraro | Pair 3 · 16.5 min | 1 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.99 | 1.49 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| Tyrel Bauer | Pair 3 · 5.0 min | 1 | 0.72 | 0.79 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 1.17 |
Every game tonight
These habits drive the Matchup Forecast. It projects which line and pair each player faces tonight, for every game. Also see the Jets line combinations and the methodology.
FAQ
Who do the Jets match against the other team's top line?
At home, with last change, the Jets' pair 1 (D) sees top lines 1.10× as often as random mixing, and among depth forwards line 2 gets the most top-line minutes (1.07×). The full grid and each player's numbers are on this page.
What is a Last-Change Fingerprint?
It's a coach's line-matching habit, measured from shift charts. Each cell compares the 5-on-5 time one of his units spent against one of the opponent's units with what it would have been if he ignored matchups. 1.00× is random mixing, above it is a matchup he seeks, below it one he avoids. It's measured separately at home, where the home coach changes last, and on the road.
How do the Jets' matchups affect fantasy hockey?
A forward who regularly draws the other team's top line and top pair faces tougher competition than his raw numbers suggest. A sheltered line gets softer minutes. Tonight's Matchup Forecast applies these habits to each game's projected lineups.