Edgehalla

How the Canucks match lines at 5-on-5: who they send against the other team's top line, how hard they match at home, where they change last, versus on the road, and which players carry the toughest minutes. This is the Last-Change Fingerprint.

Tonight

The Canucks have last change at home. Minutes are expected 5v5 time together; the ratio compares it with coaches ignoring matchups (1.00×).

Golden Knights

  • Line 1Marner – Eichel – Karlssonvs VAN Ohgren line 4.7 min (1.13×) · vs VAN Buium pair 6.6 min (1.10×)
  • Line 2Barbashev – Stone – Howdenvs VAN Pettersson line 4.2 min (1.15×) · vs VAN Buium pair 6.0 min (1.07×)
  • Line 3Olofsson – Hertl – Dowdvs VAN Ohgren line 2.8 min (0.91×) · vs VAN Buium pair 3.9 min (0.89×)
  • Line 4Bowman – Connelly – Gatcombvs VAN Cotter line 2.7 min (1.28×) · vs VAN Buium pair 3.3 min (0.92×)
  • Pair 1Theodore – Anderssonvs VAN Ohgren line 5.5 min (1.03×) · vs VAN Buium pair 7.8 min (1.03×)
  • Pair 2Hanifin – McNabbvs VAN Ohgren line 5.4 min (1.11×) · vs VAN Buium pair 6.7 min (0.97×)
  • Pair 3Wotherspoon – Lauzonvs VAN Cotter line 4.2 min (1.17×) · vs VAN Buium pair 5.8 min (0.95×)

Canucks

  • Line 1Ohgren – Boeser – Karlssonvs VGK Marner line 4.7 min (1.13×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 5.5 min (1.03×)
  • Line 2Pettersson – O'Connor – Rossivs VGK Marner line 4.5 min (1.17×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 5.2 min (1.05×)
  • Line 3Cotter – Sasson – Rätyvs VGK Marner line 3.0 min (0.86×) · vs VGK Wotherspoon pair 4.2 min (1.17×)
  • Line 4Gallagher – Bains – Lekkerimäkivs VGK Olofsson line 2.7 min (1.29×) · vs VGK Wotherspoon pair 3.9 min (1.31×)
  • Pair 1Buium – Hronekvs VGK Marner line 6.6 min (1.10×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 7.8 min (1.03×)
  • Pair 2Oleksiak – Willandervs VGK Marner line 6.0 min (1.13×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 7.2 min (1.06×)
  • Pair 3Pettersson – Schennvs VGK Olofsson line 3.4 min (1.32×) · vs VGK Wotherspoon pair 4.3 min (1.19×)
Full line-vs-line grid
VAN units (rows) against VGK units (columns): expected 5v5 minutes together, ratio to random mixing in brackets.
VANLine 1MarnerLine 2BarbashevLine 3OlofssonLine 4BowmanPair 1TheodorePair 2HanifinPair 3Wotherspoon
Line 1 Ohgren4.7(1.1)4.2(1.1)2.8(0.9)2.0(0.8)5.5(1.0)5.4(1.1)3.7(0.9)
Line 2 Pettersson4.5(1.2)4.2(1.1)2.4(0.8)1.7(0.7)5.2(1.1)4.7(1.1)3.4(0.8)
Line 3 Cotter3.0(0.9)2.8(0.9)2.7(1.1)2.7(1.3)4.1(0.9)3.7(0.9)4.2(1.2)
Line 4 Gallagher1.9(0.7)2.0(0.7)2.7(1.3)2.6(1.5)3.4(0.9)3.0(0.9)3.9(1.3)
Pair 1 Buium6.6(1.1)6.0(1.1)3.9(0.9)3.3(0.9)7.8(1.0)6.7(1.0)5.8(0.9)
Pair 2 Oleksiak6.0(1.1)5.6(1.1)3.3(0.8)2.8(0.9)7.2(1.1)6.2(1.0)4.7(0.8)
Pair 3 Pettersson2.7(0.8)2.9(0.9)3.4(1.3)2.5(1.2)4.0(0.9)4.1(1.0)4.3(1.2)
  • With last change at home, the Canucks are a middle-of-the-pack line matcher (12th of 32 by matching intensity).
  • At home their top line meets the other team's top line about as often as random mixing would give (1.08×).
  • The second line draws the opponent's top line most among the depth lines at home (1.11×).
  • The top pair is the shutdown pair at home: 1.12× random mixing against top lines.
  • On the road, without last change, their matching fades (intensity 0.04 vs 0.07 at home).

From the last 30 home and 30 road games with shift data (this season and last), as of Oct 4, 2026. Ratios are shrunk toward 1.00 for small samples.

At home: with last change

At home (last change): Canucks units (rows) against the opponent's units (columns), as a ratio to random mixing.
CanucksOpp Line 1Opp Line 2Opp Line 3Opp Line 4Opp Pair 1Opp Pair 2Opp Pair 3
Line 11.081.090.980.781.001.020.97
Line 21.111.010.950.881.011.020.97
Line 30.971.001.021.011.001.001.01
Line 40.790.871.061.401.010.951.07
Pair 11.121.040.890.911.060.980.92
Pair 21.041.030.950.970.991.020.98
Pair 30.770.921.221.190.920.991.12

On the road

On the road: Canucks units (rows) against the opponent's units (columns), as a ratio to random mixing.
CanucksOpp Line 1Opp Line 2Opp Line 3Opp Line 4Opp Pair 1Opp Pair 2Opp Pair 3
Line 11.060.991.040.871.091.010.87
Line 21.001.001.020.980.970.981.05
Line 30.961.020.991.040.931.051.05
Line 40.970.990.911.131.000.961.07
Pair 11.061.020.950.951.021.010.96
Pair 21.011.021.000.970.991.020.97
Pair 30.900.951.081.140.970.951.09

Player competition

Each skater's 5v5 time against each of the opponent's units, as a ratio to random mixing, over his recent games (both venues). Above 1.00 against L1 and P1: he draws top competition.

PlayerRoleGPOpp L1Opp L2Opp L3Opp L4Opp P1Opp P2Opp P3
Liam OhgrenLine 1 · 13.8 min401.010.971.110.870.971.001.05
Brock BoeserLine 1 · 13.3 min401.011.111.010.811.001.070.91
Linus KarlssonLine 1 · 13.1 min401.140.960.980.831.070.980.94
Elias PetterssonLine 2 · 12.9 min401.161.060.920.741.171.000.78
Drew O'ConnorLine 2 · 12.4 min400.991.110.970.870.991.021.00
Marco RossiLine 2 · 12.0 min360.951.071.050.920.951.090.96
Paul CotterLine 3 · 11.6 min30.781.000.981.321.000.921.10
Max SassonLine 3 · 11.2 min400.940.881.021.250.940.991.11
Aatu RätyLine 3 · 10.3 min400.800.900.911.590.920.921.22
Brendan GallagherLine 4 · 9.3 min30.700.940.951.531.040.901.10
Arshdeep BainsLine 4 · 9.2 min310.810.840.991.531.010.951.08
Jonathan LekkerimäkiLine 4 · 9.1 min160.880.881.121.160.900.981.21
Zeev BuiumPair 1 · 19.2 min400.930.961.101.071.030.951.01
Filip HronekPair 1 · 19.0 min401.091.050.900.921.021.020.92
Jamie OleksiakPair 2 · 17.2 min31.041.030.970.981.061.000.89
Tom WillanderPair 2 · 17.0 min401.071.060.910.921.041.000.94
Elias PetterssonPair 3 · 12.7 min400.900.981.101.090.931.021.05
Luke SchennPair 3 · 9.9 min30.651.041.101.350.860.901.29

Every game tonight

These habits drive the Matchup Forecast. It projects which line and pair each player faces tonight, for every game. Also see the Canucks line combinations and the methodology.

FAQ

Who do the Canucks match against the other team's top line?

At home, with last change, the Canucks' pair 1 (D) sees top lines 1.12× as often as random mixing, and among depth forwards line 2 gets the most top-line minutes (1.11×). The full grid and each player's numbers are on this page.

What is a Last-Change Fingerprint?

It's a coach's line-matching habit, measured from shift charts. Each cell compares the 5-on-5 time one of his units spent against one of the opponent's units with what it would have been if he ignored matchups. 1.00× is random mixing, above it is a matchup he seeks, below it one he avoids. It's measured separately at home, where the home coach changes last, and on the road.

How do the Canucks' matchups affect fantasy hockey?

A forward who regularly draws the other team's top line and top pair faces tougher competition than his raw numbers suggest. A sheltered line gets softer minutes. Tonight's Matchup Forecast applies these habits to each game's projected lineups.