Edgehalla

How the Sharks match lines at 5-on-5: who they send against the other team's top line, how hard they match at home, where they change last, versus on the road, and which players carry the toughest minutes. This is the Last-Change Fingerprint.

Next game, Oct 5

The Stars have last change at home. Minutes are expected 5v5 time together; the ratio compares it with coaches ignoring matchups (1.00×).

Sharks

  • Line 1Celebrini – Smith – Grafvs DAL Johnston line 5.5 min (1.17×) · vs DAL Harley pair 6.6 min (1.17×)
  • Line 2Wennberg – MarchmentNew team · 2 GP with SJS – Sherwoodvs DAL Johnston line 4.6 min (1.06×) · vs DAL Harley pair 5.4 min (1.03×)
  • Line 3Stenberg – Chernyshov – Misavs DAL Johnston line 3.7 min (0.93×) · vs DAL Harley pair 4.3 min (0.91×)
  • Line 4Toffoli – Ostapchuk – Goodrowvs DAL Bäck line 2.5 min (1.52×) · vs DAL Lundkvist pair 3.8 min (1.26×)
  • Pair 1KesselringNew team · 2 GP with SJS – Orlovvs DAL Johnston line 5.8 min (1.06×) · vs DAL Harley pair 6.8 min (1.03×)
  • Pair 2NurseNew team · 2 GP with SJS – TroubaNew team · 2 GP with SJSvs DAL Johnston line 5.7 min (1.06×) · vs DAL Harley pair 6.5 min (1.00×)
  • Pair 3Cagnoni – Allanvs DAL Hryckowian line 4.1 min (1.08×) · vs DAL Harley pair 5.4 min (0.94×)

Stars

  • Line 1Johnston – Rantanen – Robertsonvs SJS Celebrini line 5.5 min (1.17×) · vs SJS Kesselring pair 5.8 min (1.06×)
  • Line 2Hryckowian – Steel – Bennvs SJS Celebrini line 3.8 min (1.03×) · vs SJS Kesselring pair 4.3 min (0.99×)
  • Line 3Seguin – Hintz – Hyryvs SJS Celebrini line 3.0 min (0.93×) · vs SJS Kesselring pair 3.8 min (1.00×)
  • Line 4Bäck – Faksa – Blackwellvs SJS Toffoli line 2.5 min (1.52×) · vs SJS Cagnoni pair 3.1 min (1.21×)
  • Pair 1Harley – Heiskanenvs SJS Celebrini line 6.6 min (1.17×) · vs SJS Kesselring pair 6.8 min (1.03×)
  • Pair 2Lindell – Myersvs SJS Celebrini line 5.2 min (1.06×) · vs SJS Kesselring pair 5.7 min (1.00×)
  • Pair 3Lundkvist – Bichselvs SJS Stenberg line 4.3 min (1.12×) · vs SJS Nurse pair 5.3 min (1.02×)
Full line-vs-line grid
DAL units (rows) against SJS units (columns): expected 5v5 minutes together, ratio to random mixing in brackets.
DALLine 1CelebriniLine 2WennbergLine 3StenbergLine 4ToffoliPair 1KesselringPair 2NursePair 3Cagnoni
Line 1 Johnston5.5(1.2)4.6(1.1)3.7(0.9)2.4(0.8)5.8(1.1)5.7(1.1)3.9(0.8)
Line 2 Hryckowian3.8(1.0)3.6(1.0)3.2(1.0)2.1(0.9)4.3(1.0)4.1(1.0)4.1(1.1)
Line 3 Seguin3.0(0.9)2.9(1.0)2.9(1.1)2.3(1.1)3.8(1.0)3.6(1.0)3.2(1.0)
Line 4 Bäck1.8(0.7)2.0(0.8)2.1(1.0)2.5(1.5)2.8(0.9)2.8(1.0)3.1(1.2)
Pair 1 Harley6.6(1.2)5.4(1.0)4.3(0.9)3.1(0.8)6.8(1.0)6.5(1.0)5.4(0.9)
Pair 2 Lindell5.2(1.1)4.3(1.0)4.2(1.0)3.0(0.9)5.7(1.0)5.3(1.0)5.1(1.0)
Pair 3 Lundkvist3.4(0.7)4.3(1.0)4.3(1.1)3.8(1.3)5.0(0.9)5.3(1.0)4.8(1.0)
  • With last change at home, the Sharks are a middle-of-the-pack line matcher (16th of 32 by matching intensity).
  • At home their top line meets the other team's top line about as often as random mixing would give (1.10×).
  • The second line draws the opponent's top line most among the depth lines at home (1.11×).
  • On the road, without last change, their matching fades (intensity 0.05 vs 0.06 at home).

From the last 30 home and 30 road games with shift data (this season and last), as of Oct 4, 2026. Ratios are shrunk toward 1.00 for small samples.

At home: with last change

At home (last change): Sharks units (rows) against the opponent's units (columns), as a ratio to random mixing.
SharksOpp Line 1Opp Line 2Opp Line 3Opp Line 4Opp Pair 1Opp Pair 2Opp Pair 3
Line 11.101.040.960.851.091.000.85
Line 21.111.020.960.821.031.010.95
Line 30.861.041.101.010.911.011.14
Line 40.840.840.991.430.930.991.15
Pair 11.020.971.050.971.031.010.92
Pair 21.051.010.941.001.010.990.98
Pair 30.921.031.011.080.930.981.11

On the road

On the road: Sharks units (rows) against the opponent's units (columns), as a ratio to random mixing.
SharksOpp Line 1Opp Line 2Opp Line 3Opp Line 4Opp Pair 1Opp Pair 2Opp Pair 3
Line 11.001.110.990.841.071.050.86
Line 21.111.020.940.861.030.990.98
Line 31.010.961.011.020.970.971.07
Line 40.830.821.071.370.920.981.15
Pair 11.021.001.010.980.981.020.99
Pair 20.991.001.001.021.010.981.00
Pair 30.991.010.991.030.990.991.01

Player competition

Each skater's 5v5 time against each of the opponent's units, as a ratio to random mixing, over his recent games (both venues). Above 1.00 against L1 and P1: he draws top competition.

PlayerRoleGPOpp L1Opp L2Opp L3Opp L4Opp P1Opp P2Opp P3
Macklin CelebriniLine 1 · 15.8 min401.071.130.920.791.171.040.70
Will SmithLine 1 · 14.2 min401.051.120.920.841.141.040.75
Collin GrafLine 1 · 13.7 min401.111.011.020.741.150.990.81
Alexander WennbergLine 2 · 13.6 min401.200.960.900.851.020.971.00
Mason MarchmentLine 2 · 13.5 min21.001.061.010.861.061.070.87
Kiefer SherwoodLine 2 · 13.2 min301.180.970.890.891.010.971.02
Ivar StenbergLine 3 · 12.9 min21.191.000.900.861.030.931.07
Igor ChernyshovLine 3 · 12.5 min290.891.101.080.930.981.090.91
Michael MisaLine 3 · 11.5 min400.880.981.210.940.890.971.22
Tyler ToffoliLine 4 · 10.5 min400.871.031.160.940.910.981.19
Zack OstapchukLine 4 · 9.1 min400.720.801.071.620.901.001.20
Barclay GoodrowLine 4 · 9.1 min400.720.851.071.570.910.991.18
Michael KesselringPair 1 · 17.2 min20.941.051.011.030.951.080.95
Dmitry OrlovPair 1 · 17.1 min401.021.080.960.911.070.970.91
Darnell NursePair 2 · 17.0 min20.941.041.001.050.951.050.98
Jacob TroubaPair 2 · 16.2 min21.310.860.840.931.140.890.96
Luca CagnoniPair 3 · 15.5 min50.811.071.001.210.921.041.05
Nolan AllanPair 3 · 14.1 min21.280.880.850.971.080.960.98

Every game tonight

These habits drive the Matchup Forecast. It projects which line and pair each player faces tonight, for every game. Also see the Sharks line combinations and the methodology.

FAQ

Who do the Sharks match against the other team's top line?

At home, with last change, the Sharks' pair 2 (D) sees top lines 1.05× as often as random mixing, and among depth forwards line 2 gets the most top-line minutes (1.11×). The full grid and each player's numbers are on this page.

What is a Last-Change Fingerprint?

It's a coach's line-matching habit, measured from shift charts. Each cell compares the 5-on-5 time one of his units spent against one of the opponent's units with what it would have been if he ignored matchups. 1.00× is random mixing, above it is a matchup he seeks, below it one he avoids. It's measured separately at home, where the home coach changes last, and on the road.

How do the Sharks' matchups affect fantasy hockey?

A forward who regularly draws the other team's top line and top pair faces tougher competition than his raw numbers suggest. A sheltered line gets softer minutes. Tonight's Matchup Forecast applies these habits to each game's projected lineups.