Vegas Golden Knights Line Matchups
2026-27 · 1-1-0 · 2 pts · 6th Pacific
How the Golden Knights match lines at 5-on-5: who they send against the other team's top line, how hard they match at home, where they change last, versus on the road, and which players carry the toughest minutes. This is the Last-Change Fingerprint.
Tonight
The Canucks have last change at home. Minutes are expected 5v5 time together; the ratio compares it with coaches ignoring matchups (1.00×).
Golden Knights
- Line 1Marner – Eichel – Karlssonvs VAN Ohgren line 4.7 min (1.13×) · vs VAN Buium pair 6.6 min (1.10×)
- Line 2Barbashev – Stone – Howdenvs VAN Pettersson line 4.2 min (1.15×) · vs VAN Buium pair 6.0 min (1.07×)
- Line 3Olofsson – Hertl – Dowdvs VAN Ohgren line 2.8 min (0.91×) · vs VAN Buium pair 3.9 min (0.89×)
- Line 4Bowman – Connelly – Gatcombvs VAN Cotter line 2.7 min (1.28×) · vs VAN Buium pair 3.3 min (0.92×)
- Pair 1Theodore – Anderssonvs VAN Ohgren line 5.5 min (1.03×) · vs VAN Buium pair 7.8 min (1.03×)
- Pair 2Hanifin – McNabbvs VAN Ohgren line 5.4 min (1.11×) · vs VAN Buium pair 6.7 min (0.97×)
- Pair 3Wotherspoon – Lauzonvs VAN Cotter line 4.2 min (1.17×) · vs VAN Buium pair 5.8 min (0.95×)
Canucks
- Line 1Ohgren – Boeser – Karlssonvs VGK Marner line 4.7 min (1.13×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 5.5 min (1.03×)
- Line 2Pettersson – O'Connor – Rossivs VGK Marner line 4.5 min (1.17×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 5.2 min (1.05×)
- Line 3Cotter – Sasson – Rätyvs VGK Marner line 3.0 min (0.86×) · vs VGK Wotherspoon pair 4.2 min (1.17×)
- Line 4Gallagher – Bains – Lekkerimäkivs VGK Olofsson line 2.7 min (1.29×) · vs VGK Wotherspoon pair 3.9 min (1.31×)
- Pair 1Buium – Hronekvs VGK Marner line 6.6 min (1.10×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 7.8 min (1.03×)
- Pair 2Oleksiak – Willandervs VGK Marner line 6.0 min (1.13×) · vs VGK Theodore pair 7.2 min (1.06×)
- Pair 3Pettersson – Schennvs VGK Olofsson line 3.4 min (1.32×) · vs VGK Wotherspoon pair 4.3 min (1.19×)
Full line-vs-line grid
| VAN | Line 1Marner | Line 2Barbashev | Line 3Olofsson | Line 4Bowman | Pair 1Theodore | Pair 2Hanifin | Pair 3Wotherspoon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 Ohgren | 4.7(1.1) | 4.2(1.1) | 2.8(0.9) | 2.0(0.8) | 5.5(1.0) | 5.4(1.1) | 3.7(0.9) |
| Line 2 Pettersson | 4.5(1.2) | 4.2(1.1) | 2.4(0.8) | 1.7(0.7) | 5.2(1.1) | 4.7(1.1) | 3.4(0.8) |
| Line 3 Cotter | 3.0(0.9) | 2.8(0.9) | 2.7(1.1) | 2.7(1.3) | 4.1(0.9) | 3.7(0.9) | 4.2(1.2) |
| Line 4 Gallagher | 1.9(0.7) | 2.0(0.7) | 2.7(1.3) | 2.6(1.5) | 3.4(0.9) | 3.0(0.9) | 3.9(1.3) |
| Pair 1 Buium | 6.6(1.1) | 6.0(1.1) | 3.9(0.9) | 3.3(0.9) | 7.8(1.0) | 6.7(1.0) | 5.8(0.9) |
| Pair 2 Oleksiak | 6.0(1.1) | 5.6(1.1) | 3.3(0.8) | 2.8(0.9) | 7.2(1.1) | 6.2(1.0) | 4.7(0.8) |
| Pair 3 Pettersson | 2.7(0.8) | 2.9(0.9) | 3.4(1.3) | 2.5(1.2) | 4.0(0.9) | 4.1(1.0) | 4.3(1.2) |
- With last change at home, the Golden Knights are one of the most deliberate line matchers in the league (7th of 32 by matching intensity).
- At home their top line sees the other team's top line 1.11× as often as random mixing: power against power.
- They match lines at least as hard on the road as at home (intensity 0.09 vs 0.07), changing on the fly to get their matchups.
From the last 30 home and 30 road games with shift data (this season and last), as of Oct 4, 2026. Ratios are shrunk toward 1.00 for small samples.
At home: with last change
| Golden Knights | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.11 | 1.05 | 0.94 | 0.82 | 1.04 | 1.05 | 0.87 |
| Line 2 | 1.05 | 1.07 | 0.95 | 0.88 | 1.04 | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| Line 3 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 1.10 | 0.94 | 0.96 | 1.15 |
| Line 4 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 1.09 | 1.26 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| Pair 1 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 0.98 | 0.90 | 1.04 | 0.98 | 0.95 |
| Pair 2 | 1.09 | 1.03 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| Pair 3 | 0.80 | 0.90 | 1.13 | 1.28 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 1.17 |
On the road
| Golden Knights | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.18 | 1.07 | 0.92 | 0.72 | 1.10 | 1.04 | 0.81 |
| Line 2 | 1.02 | 1.13 | 0.95 | 0.85 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Line 3 | 0.87 | 0.92 | 1.10 | 1.17 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| Line 4 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 1.06 | 1.37 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| Pair 1 | 1.09 | 1.04 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 0.92 |
| Pair 2 | 1.06 | 1.03 | 0.96 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| Pair 3 | 0.79 | 0.91 | 1.16 | 1.26 | 0.97 | 0.94 | 1.12 |
Player competition
Each skater's 5v5 time against each of the opponent's units, as a ratio to random mixing, over his recent games (both venues). Above 1.00 against L1 and P1: he draws top competition.
| Player | Role | GP | Opp L1 | Opp L2 | Opp L3 | Opp L4 | Opp P1 | Opp P2 | Opp P3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Marner | Line 1 · 15.6 min | 40 | 1.09 | 1.13 | 0.95 | 0.71 | 1.09 | 1.02 | 0.82 |
| Jack Eichel | Line 1 · 15.5 min | 40 | 1.16 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 0.64 |
| William Karlsson | Line 1 · 14.6 min | 31 | 1.11 | 1.07 | 0.95 | 0.75 | 1.05 | 0.96 | 0.97 |
| Ivan Barbashev | Line 2 · 14.5 min | 40 | 1.18 | 1.11 | 0.89 | 0.66 | 1.07 | 1.13 | 0.72 |
| Mark Stone | Line 2 · 14.4 min | 40 | 1.12 | 1.17 | 0.90 | 0.67 | 1.07 | 1.09 | 0.78 |
| Brett Howden | Line 2 · 13.7 min | 40 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 0.80 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Victor Olofsson | Line 3 · 12.2 min | 2 | 0.68 | 0.90 | 1.23 | 1.28 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Tomas Hertl | Line 3 · 10.8 min | 40 | 0.73 | 0.94 | 1.21 | 1.24 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| Nic Dowd | Line 3 · 10.0 min | 39 | 0.90 | 0.79 | 1.01 | 1.48 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 1.31 |
| Braeden Bowman | Line 4 · 9.8 min | 40 | 1.05 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.03 |
| Trevor Connelly | Line 4 · 9.5 min | 2 | 0.66 | 0.82 | 1.24 | 1.39 | 0.90 | 0.96 | 1.22 |
| Marc Gatcomb | Line 4 · 8.5 min | 2 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.14 | 1.10 | 0.97 | 1.01 | 1.09 |
| Shea Theodore | Pair 1 · 20.1 min | 40 | 1.15 | 1.05 | 0.91 | 0.80 | 1.04 | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Rasmus Andersson | Pair 1 · 18.6 min | 40 | 1.02 | 1.04 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 1.05 | 0.91 |
| Noah Hanifin | Pair 2 · 17.7 min | 40 | 1.03 | 1.07 | 0.97 | 0.92 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| Brayden McNabb | Pair 2 · 17.4 min | 40 | 1.19 | 1.03 | 0.88 | 0.80 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Parker Wotherspoon | Pair 3 · 17.0 min | 2 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 1.19 | 1.16 | 0.93 | 1.01 | 1.09 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | Pair 3 · 14.3 min | 40 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 1.13 | 1.38 | 0.96 | 0.92 | 1.15 |
Every game tonight
These habits drive the Matchup Forecast. It projects which line and pair each player faces tonight, for every game. Also see the Golden Knights line combinations and the methodology.
FAQ
Who do the Golden Knights match against the other team's top line?
At home, with last change, the Golden Knights' pair 2 (D) sees top lines 1.09× as often as random mixing, and among depth forwards line 2 gets the most top-line minutes (1.05×). The full grid and each player's numbers are on this page.
What is a Last-Change Fingerprint?
It's a coach's line-matching habit, measured from shift charts. Each cell compares the 5-on-5 time one of his units spent against one of the opponent's units with what it would have been if he ignored matchups. 1.00× is random mixing, above it is a matchup he seeks, below it one he avoids. It's measured separately at home, where the home coach changes last, and on the road.
How do the Golden Knights' matchups affect fantasy hockey?
A forward who regularly draws the other team's top line and top pair faces tougher competition than his raw numbers suggest. A sheltered line gets softer minutes. Tonight's Matchup Forecast applies these habits to each game's projected lineups.