Utah Mammoth Line Matchups
2026-27 · 2-0-0 · 4 pts · 2nd Central
How the Mammoth match lines at 5-on-5: who they send against the other team's top line, how hard they match at home, where they change last, versus on the road, and which players carry the toughest minutes. This is the Last-Change Fingerprint.
Tonight
Utah Mammoth at New York Rangers
6:00 PM ETThe Rangers have last change at home. Minutes are expected 5v5 time together; the ratio compares it with coaches ignoring matchups (1.00×).
Mammoth
- Line 1Keller – Schmaltz – Crousevs NYR Lafrenière line 5.6 min (1.35×) · vs NYR Gavrikov pair 6.5 min (1.21×)
- Line 2TrocheckNew team · 2 GP with UTA – Guenther – Cooleyvs NYR Lafrenière line 4.1 min (1.05×) · vs NYR Gavrikov pair 5.3 min (1.03×)
- Line 3Carcone – Hayton – LeeNew team · 2 GP with UTAvs NYR Cuylle line 3.1 min (1.15×) · vs NYR Schneider pair 4.2 min (1.22×)
- Line 4Stenlund – McBain – Butvs NYR Veleno line 3.8 min (1.75×) · vs NYR Schneider pair 4.2 min (1.35×)
- Pair 1Marino – Weegarvs NYR Lafrenière line 5.6 min (1.09×) · vs NYR Gavrikov pair 6.8 min (1.02×)
- Pair 2Sergachev – Schmidtvs NYR Lafrenière line 5.4 min (1.09×) · vs NYR Gavrikov pair 6.6 min (1.03×)
- Pair 3Simashev – PeekeNew team · 2 GP with UTAvs NYR Cuylle line 3.6 min (1.19×) · vs NYR Schneider pair 4.5 min (1.16×)
Rangers
- Line 1Lafrenière – Zibanejad – Perreaultvs UTA Keller line 5.6 min (1.35×) · vs UTA Marino pair 5.6 min (1.09×)
- Line 2DorofeyevNew team · 3 GP with NYR – BjorkstrandNew team · 3 GP with NYR – Millervs UTA Trocheck line 3.9 min (1.14×) · vs UTA Marino pair 4.7 min (1.04×)
- Line 3Cuylle – Laba – Kartyevs UTA Trocheck line 3.2 min (1.00×) · vs UTA Marino pair 4.0 min (0.95×)
- Line 4VelenoNew team · 3 GP with NYR – Chmelar – TolvanenNew team · 3 GP with NYRvs UTA Stenlund line 3.8 min (1.75×) · vs UTA Sergachev pair 3.7 min (1.00×)
- Pair 1Gavrikov – PetterssonNew team · 3 GP with NYRvs UTA Keller line 6.5 min (1.21×) · vs UTA Marino pair 6.8 min (1.02×)
- Pair 2Fox – DurziNew team · 3 GP with NYRvs UTA Keller line 5.5 min (1.13×) · vs UTA Marino pair 6.2 min (1.02×)
- Pair 3Schneider – Smitsvs UTA Carcone line 4.2 min (1.22×) · vs UTA Marino pair 5.2 min (0.94×)
Full line-vs-line grid
| NYR | Line 1Keller | Line 2Trocheck | Line 3Carcone | Line 4Stenlund | Pair 1Marino | Pair 2Sergachev | Pair 3Simashev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 Lafrenière | 5.6(1.4) | 4.1(1.1) | 2.6(0.8) | 1.8(0.6) | 5.6(1.1) | 5.4(1.1) | 2.8(0.8) |
| Line 2 Dorofeyev | 3.7(1.0) | 3.9(1.1) | 2.8(1.0) | 2.0(0.8) | 4.7(1.0) | 4.2(1.0) | 3.1(1.0) |
| Line 3 Cuylle | 3.0(0.9) | 3.2(1.0) | 3.1(1.1) | 2.4(1.0) | 4.0(0.9) | 3.8(0.9) | 3.6(1.2) |
| Line 4 Veleno | 1.8(0.6) | 2.3(0.8) | 2.7(1.1) | 3.8(1.8) | 3.5(0.9) | 3.7(1.0) | 3.3(1.2) |
| Pair 1 Gavrikov | 6.5(1.2) | 5.3(1.0) | 3.8(0.9) | 3.0(0.8) | 6.8(1.0) | 6.6(1.0) | 4.3(0.9) |
| Pair 2 Fox | 5.5(1.1) | 4.6(1.0) | 3.6(0.9) | 3.1(0.9) | 6.2(1.0) | 6.2(1.1) | 4.0(0.9) |
| Pair 3 Schneider | 2.9(0.7) | 3.9(0.9) | 4.2(1.2) | 4.2(1.4) | 5.2(0.9) | 4.8(0.9) | 4.5(1.2) |
- With last change at home, the Mammoth are one of the least matchup-driven benches in the league (29th of 32 by matching intensity).
- At home their top line meets the other team's top line about as often as random mixing would give (1.05×).
- The second line draws the opponent's top line most among the depth lines at home (1.10×).
- They match lines at least as hard on the road as at home (intensity 0.08 vs 0.05), changing on the fly to get their matchups.
From the last 30 home and 30 road games with shift data (this season and last), as of Oct 4, 2026. Ratios are shrunk toward 1.00 for small samples.
At home: with last change
| Mammoth | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 0.96 | 0.92 | 1.04 | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| Line 2 | 1.10 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.89 | 1.02 | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Line 3 | 0.95 | 1.03 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| Line 4 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 1.21 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| Pair 1 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 0.94 |
| Pair 2 | 1.03 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.97 | 1.02 | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| Pair 3 | 0.87 | 0.98 | 1.07 | 1.13 | 0.94 | 0.97 | 1.10 |
On the road
| Mammoth | Opp Line 1 | Opp Line 2 | Opp Line 3 | Opp Line 4 | Opp Pair 1 | Opp Pair 2 | Opp Pair 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | 1.23 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.06 | 0.77 |
| Line 2 | 0.99 | 1.09 | 0.98 | 0.92 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 0.98 |
| Line 3 | 0.88 | 1.02 | 1.05 | 1.08 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| Line 4 | 0.82 | 0.94 | 1.04 | 1.27 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 1.26 |
| Pair 1 | 1.06 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 0.95 |
| Pair 2 | 1.10 | 1.01 | 0.96 | 0.90 | 1.04 | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| Pair 3 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.21 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.17 |
Player competition
Each skater's 5v5 time against each of the opponent's units, as a ratio to random mixing, over his recent games (both venues). Above 1.00 against L1 and P1: he draws top competition.
| Player | Role | GP | Opp L1 | Opp L2 | Opp L3 | Opp L4 | Opp P1 | Opp P2 | Opp P3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Keller | Line 1 · 15.5 min | 40 | 1.27 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 0.72 | 1.16 | 1.07 | 0.67 |
| Nick Schmaltz | Line 1 · 14.5 min | 40 | 1.28 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.69 | 1.16 | 1.08 | 0.66 |
| Lawson Crouse | Line 1 · 14.2 min | 40 | 1.30 | 0.94 | 0.87 | 0.75 | 1.17 | 1.12 | 0.60 |
| Vincent Trocheck | Line 2 · 14.0 min | 2 | 0.92 | 1.10 | 1.06 | 0.90 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| Dylan Guenther | Line 2 · 13.9 min | 40 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 0.99 | 0.88 | 1.02 | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Logan Cooley | Line 2 · 13.9 min | 40 | 1.10 | 1.03 | 0.93 | 0.89 | 1.08 | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Michael Carcone | Line 3 · 12.3 min | 40 | 0.81 | 1.10 | 1.04 | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 1.34 |
| Barrett Hayton | Line 3 · 11.3 min | 40 | 0.97 | 1.10 | 0.96 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 1.03 | 1.00 |
| Anders Lee | Line 3 · 11.0 min | 2 | 0.96 | 1.04 | 0.98 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Kevin Stenlund | Line 4 · 10.8 min | 40 | 0.76 | 0.91 | 1.04 | 1.46 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| Jack McBain | Line 4 · 10.6 min | 40 | 0.92 | 1.14 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| Daniil But | Line 4 · 9.6 min | 31 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 1.09 | 1.10 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 1.28 |
| John Marino | Pair 1 · 18.4 min | 40 | 1.12 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.98 | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | Pair 1 · 18.3 min | 27 | 1.08 | 1.05 | 0.92 | 0.90 | 1.04 | 1.05 | 0.85 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | Pair 2 · 18.1 min | 40 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 0.94 | 0.87 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 0.86 |
| Nate Schmidt | Pair 2 · 17.3 min | 40 | 1.13 | 0.97 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Dmitri Simashev | Pair 3 · 13.5 min | 30 | 0.99 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| Andrew Peeke | Pair 3 · 12.7 min | 2 | 0.72 | 1.03 | 1.20 | 1.13 | 0.84 | 1.06 | 1.15 |
Every game tonight
These habits drive the Matchup Forecast. It projects which line and pair each player faces tonight, for every game. Also see the Mammoth line combinations and the methodology.
FAQ
Who do the Mammoth match against the other team's top line?
At home, with last change, the Mammoth' pair 1 (D) sees top lines 1.06× as often as random mixing, and among depth forwards line 2 gets the most top-line minutes (1.10×). The full grid and each player's numbers are on this page.
What is a Last-Change Fingerprint?
It's a coach's line-matching habit, measured from shift charts. Each cell compares the 5-on-5 time one of his units spent against one of the opponent's units with what it would have been if he ignored matchups. 1.00× is random mixing, above it is a matchup he seeks, below it one he avoids. It's measured separately at home, where the home coach changes last, and on the road.
How do the Mammoth' matchups affect fantasy hockey?
A forward who regularly draws the other team's top line and top pair faces tougher competition than his raw numbers suggest. A sheltered line gets softer minutes. Tonight's Matchup Forecast applies these habits to each game's projected lineups.