Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Bryan Rust
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rust has no games left. We project Fox for 1.5 ESPN points to Rust's 0.0.
Adam Fox has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.53, Expected goals 56.2%.
Rust's biggest edges: Blocked shots 71, Hardest shot 88.4, Top skating speed 22.8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.24
fantasy points per game
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Rust |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.33 | 0.81 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Rust
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 10G 20A, 72 SOG · Rust 8G 12A, 98 SOG
Fox blocked 4 of Rust's shots; Rust blocked 0 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
11:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–4
- 76.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.3
- 66.9%
- Goals
- 3–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Rust |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NYR 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-11 | NYR 6–1 PIT | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-07 | NYR 2–3 PIT | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2024-12-06 | NYR 4–2 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-04-01 | NYR 2–5 PIT | 0G 1A 6S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-16 | NYR 7–4 PIT | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-18 | NYR 6–0 PIT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-16 | NYR 4–2 PIT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-12 | NYR 2–3 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-20 | NYR 2–3 PIT | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-05-15 · PO | NYR 4–3 PIT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-05-13 · PO | NYR 5–3 PIT | 0G 4A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 16th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Bryan Rust
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Bryan Rust in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Bryan Rust?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Rust done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 16–14. Fox had 30 points (10 goals) and Rust had 20 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →