Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left. We project Fox for 2.2 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.1.
Adam Fox has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: High-danger chances 64.3%, Scoring chances 59.9%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041.
Larkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.7, 20+ mph bursts 186, Penalty minutes 48.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.24
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.33 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.80 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 1G 16A, 30 SOG · Larkin 3G 5A, 54 SOG
Fox blocked 2 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
14:12 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–16
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.7
- 33.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | NYR 4–1 DET | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2025-11-16 | NYR 1–2 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2025-11-07 | NYR 4–1 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-09 | NYR 4–0 DET | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-17 | NYR 5–2 DET | 0G 3A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-14 | NYR 4–1 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-05 | NYR 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2023-02-23 | NYR 1–4 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-10 | NYR 8–2 DET | 1G 3A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-06 | NYR 2–3 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-16 | NYR 4–0 DET | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-30 | NYR 5–4 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA2.2 pts
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Larkin done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 12–4. Fox had 17 points (1 goals) and Larkin had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →