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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Dylan Larkin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043, Hits 110, Luck Meter +38.

Larkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.7%, Power-play share 66.3%, Power-play time per game 3:13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.65

fantasy points per game

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonLarkin
Goals (+2)0.170.92
Assists (+1)0.220.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.31
Hits (+0.1)0.130.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Larkin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonLarkin
6Team record in 14 meetings8
4Points in those games15

Larsson 2G 2A, 20 SOG · Larkin 5G 10A, 43 SOG

3Hits on each other1
4Shots blocked by the other1

Larsson blocked 4 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Larsson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

15:44 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
10–21
32.3%
Expected goals
0.4–1.0
27.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Dylan Larkin
DateScoreLarssonLarkin
2025-12-06SEA 3–4 DET1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-18SEA 2–4 DET0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-04SEA 4–5 DET0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2025-01-12SEA 2–6 DET0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-02-19SEA 3–4 DET0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-24SEA 5–4 DET0G 0A 0S1G 2A 3S
2023-03-02SEA 5–4 DET0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-02-18SEA 4–2 DET0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2022-03-19SEA 4–2 DET1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2021-12-01SEA 3–4 DET0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2019-01-22EDM 2–3 DET0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2018-11-03EDM 4–3 DET0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonLarkin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Dylan Larkin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Larkin done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 6–8. Larsson had 4 points (2 goals) and Larkin had 15 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →