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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left. We project Kempe for 2.0 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.4.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Hits 127.

Provorov's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 52.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.11

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeProvorov
Goals (+2)0.890.22
Assists (+1)0.460.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeProvorov
10Team record in 16 meetings6
13Points in those games9

Kempe 7G 6A, 46 SOG · Provorov 3G 6A, 26 SOG

2Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other4

Kempe blocked 0 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 4 of Kempe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

8:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
7–7
50.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
65.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreKempeProvorov
2026-03-09LAK 5–4 CBJ2G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-22LAK 1–3 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-25LAK 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-09LAK 5–2 CBJ0G 2A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-02-20LAK 5–1 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-05LAK 4–3 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-24LAK 4–3 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 2A 0S
2022-12-31LAK 2–4 PHI1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-29LAK 3–4 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-01-01LAK 6–3 PHI1G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2020-01-18LAK 1–4 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2019-12-31LAK 5–3 PHI1G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.0 pts

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Provorov done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 10–6. Kempe had 13 points (7 goals) and Provorov had 9 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →