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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Killorn vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Killorn's 1.14.

Killorn had 33 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Killorn has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Killorn's 0.8.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 32 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Killorn's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043, Shorthanded points 1, Hits 70.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +4.3, On-ice PDO 1054.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Killorn

1.14

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKillornMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.471.49
Assists (+1)0.210.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.46
Hits (+0.1)0.080.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Killorn vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KillornMacKinnon
11Team record in 23 meetings12
12Points in those games34

Killorn 5G 7A, 34 SOG · MacKinnon 11G 23A, 109 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other3

Killorn's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Killorn's defensive zone 1–2 (2017-18 to 2019-20)

1Shots blocked by the other1

Killorn blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Killorn's.

On the ice against each other (Killorn's side)

20:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Killorn's side

Shot attempts
19–27
41.3%
Expected goals
0.8–1.3
39.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Killorn and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreKillornMacKinnon
2026-03-03ANA 1–5 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-21ANA 2–1 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-11ANA 1–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 3A 3S
2024-12-20ANA 2–4 COL1G 0A 2S1G 2A 3S
2024-10-18ANA 3–4 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 9S
2023-12-05ANA 2–3 COL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 5S
2023-12-02ANA 4–3 COL1G 1A 3S0G 1A 6S
2023-11-15ANA 2–8 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2023-02-14TBL 4–3 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 7S
2023-02-09TBL 5–0 COL0G 3A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-06-26 · POTBL 1–2 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 7S
2022-06-24 · POTBL 3–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 6S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KillornMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Killorn

2games (1 left)

0.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA0.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Killorn or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Killorn's 1.14. Killorn had 33 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Killorn or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 32 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Killorn and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Killorn's team went 11–12. Killorn had 12 points (5 goals) and MacKinnon had 34 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Killorn or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Killorn has won 1 and MacKinnon 3 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →