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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Eeli Tolvanen

Alex TuchAlex TuchCapitals · Right wingvsEeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Plus/minus +24, Goals above expected +5.0, High-danger chances 53.6%.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Hits 187, Hardest shot 92.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchTolvanen
Goals (+2)1.030.48
Assists (+1)0.390.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.17
Hits (+0.1)0.100.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchTolvanen
5Team record in 9 meetings4
12Points in those games6

Tuch 5G 7A, 28 SOG · Tolvanen 0G 6A, 13 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Tuch blocked 1 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 1 of Tuch's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

10:02 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
8–13
38.1%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
41.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreTuchTolvanen
2026-03-28BUF 3–2 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-14BUF 3–1 SEA0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-20BUF 4–6 SEA1G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-11BUF 2–6 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-18BUF 6–2 SEA1G 1A 2S0G 2A 0S
2024-01-09BUF 2–5 SEA1G 1A 6S0G 2A 1S
2023-01-10BUF 3–4 SEA2G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-01BUF 4–3 NSH0G 2A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-01-13BUF 4–1 NSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 5–4. Tuch had 12 points (5 goals) and Tolvanen had 6 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →