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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Jackson Blake

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Blake had 53 in 81 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Blake has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Blake's 1.7.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, Hits 82, On-ice PDO 1044.

Blake's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Scoring chances 59.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Jackson Blake

1.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchBlake
Goals (+2)1.030.48
Assists (+1)0.390.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.22
Hits (+0.1)0.100.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Blake

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchBlake
4Team record in 7 meetings3
8Points in those games1

Tuch 6G 2A, 16 SOG · Blake 0G 1A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

8:21 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
4–8
33.3%
Expected goals
0.7–0.1
86.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Jackson Blake
DateScoreTuchBlake
2026-10-02WSH 5–2 CAR2G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-19BUF 1–2 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-23BUF 4–1 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-08BUF 3–6 CAR1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-08BUF 3–0 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-27BUF 2–5 CAR1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-15BUF 4–2 CAR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchBlake

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Jackson Blake in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Blake had 53 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Jackson Blake?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and Blake done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 4–3. Tuch had 8 points (6 goals) and Blake had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →