Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Kyle Connor
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Tuch's 2.42.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Connor's 2.4.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Blocked shots 90, Penalty minutes 57, Faceoffs won 46.
Connor's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.31, Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Ascension score 58.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Connor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 1.02 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Connor
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 5G 4A, 45 SOG · Connor 12G 9A, 46 SOG
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
5:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–4
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.0
- 84.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Connor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | BUF 1–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-12-01 | BUF 5–1 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-23 | BUF 5–3 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-05 | BUF 2–3 WPG | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-03 | BUF 2–5 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-17 | BUF 2–3 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-26 | BUF 3–2 WPG | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-12 | BUF 2–4 WPG | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2019-11-02 | VGK 3–4 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2019-03-21 | VGK 5–0 WPG | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-02-22 | VGK 3–6 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2019-01-15 | VGK 1–4 WPG | 0G 0A 5S | 2G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Tuch's 2.42. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Kyle Connor?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Connor done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 10–10. Tuch had 9 points (5 goals) and Connor had 21 (12 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →