Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Mikko Rantanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikko Rantanen's 2.21.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, Corsi 51.2%, Fenwick 52.2%.
Rantanen's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Power-play share 82.8%, Power-play time per game 3:54.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Mikko Rantanen
2.21
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.64 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.81 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Rantanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 9G 7A, 71 SOG · Rantanen 12G 15A, 79 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tuch's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22)
Tuch blocked 1 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 0 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
6:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–5
- 37.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.1
- 70.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | BUF 3–4 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-31 | BUF 4–1 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-27 | BUF 2–5 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-01-02 | BUF 5–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-12-03 | BUF 4–5 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-13 | BUF 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-10-29 | BUF 4–0 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-12-15 | BUF 4–2 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 8S |
| 2022-12-01 | BUF 4–6 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-01-30 | BUF 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-02-19 | BUF 3–5 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2021-06-10 · PO | VGK 6–3 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikko Rantanen's 2.21. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Mikko Rantanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Rantanen done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 13–17. Tuch had 16 points (9 goals) and Rantanen had 27 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Rantanen?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 1 and Rantanen 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →