Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Hits 82, Transition attempts /60 1.44, Penalty minutes 57.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Faceoffs won 739, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Tuch 13–4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 8G 13A, 67 SOG · O'Reilly 12G 18A, 67 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 4–10 · neutral 0–2 · Tuch's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
9:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–18
- 14.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.5
- 41.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | BUF 3–2 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-20 | BUF 5–3 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2025-02-08 | BUF 4–6 NSH | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 4A 2S |
| 2025-01-31 | BUF 4–3 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-07 | BUF 2–4 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-03 | BUF 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-21 | BUF 3–6 TOR | 1G 1A 2S | 3G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-23 | BUF 6–2 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-14 | BUF 2–6 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-02-25 | BUF 3–5 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-05-08 | VGK 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2021-05-07 | VGK 4–3 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 14–12. Tuch had 21 points (8 goals) and O'Reilly had 30 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 4 and O'Reilly 13 of their 17 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →