Who to start · 2025-26
Alexandre Carrier vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.
Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carrier's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Luck Meter +57.
Marner's biggest edges: Power-play share 80.1%, Power-play time per game 3:32, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexandre Carrier
1.73
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carrier | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.30 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.03 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carrier vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carrier 0G 4A, 9 SOG · Marner 4G 8A, 21 SOG
Carrier blocked 5 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 1 of Carrier's.
On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)
7:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–10
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.6
- 11.0%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carrier | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | MTL 3–2 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-28 | MTL 4–1 VGK | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-12 | MTL 0–1 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-01-18 | MTL 3–7 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-12-04 | NSH 2–3 TOR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 3A 0S |
| 2023-12-09 | NSH 0–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-28 | NSH 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-01-11 | NSH 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-19 | NSH 6–3 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carrier and Marner done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 4–5. Carrier had 4 points (0 goals) and Marner had 12 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →