Who to start · 2025-26
Alexis Lafrenière vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.
Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Scoring chances 54.3%, Offensive-zone start % 61.0%.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Hardest shot 91.7, Penalty minutes 48.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexis Lafrenière
1.64
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Lafrenière | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Lafrenière 4G 6A, 23 SOG · Larkin 3G 4A, 48 SOG
Lafrenière's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 0–1 · Lafrenière's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)
12:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–14
- 41.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.3
- 54.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Lafrenière | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | NYR 4–1 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2025-11-16 | NYR 1–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2025-11-07 | NYR 4–1 DET | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-09 | NYR 4–0 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-17 | NYR 5–2 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-14 | NYR 4–1 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-05 | NYR 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2023-11-07 | NYR 5–3 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-23 | NYR 1–4 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-10 | NYR 8–2 DET | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-06 | NYR 2–3 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-16 | NYR 4–0 DET | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexis Lafrenière
4games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have Lafrenière and Larkin done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 10–4. Lafrenière had 10 points (4 goals) and Larkin had 7 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Lafrenière or Larkin?
- Against each other, Lafrenière has won 0 and Larkin 4 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →