Who to start · 2025-26
Anthony Cirelli vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67.
Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Cirelli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Cirelli's 1.2.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Cirelli's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1052, Luck Meter +50, Goals above expected +3.0.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.2%, Transition attempts /60 1.50, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40.
Head to head on the dot, Cirelli leads Jarvis 17–4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anthony Cirelli
1.69
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Cirelli | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Cirelli vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Cirelli 0G 2A, 11 SOG · Jarvis 2G 3A, 22 SOG
Cirelli's offensive zone 3–1 · neutral 4–0 · Cirelli's defensive zone 10–3 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Cirelli's side)
1:23 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Cirelli's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–4
- 20.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Cirelli | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TBL 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-11 | TBL 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-11 | TBL 4–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-24 | TBL 8–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-11 | TBL 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | TBL 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-28 | TBL 4–0 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-05 | TBL 0–6 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-29 | TBL 4–3 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-03-22 | TBL 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2021-11-09 | TBL 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anthony Cirelli
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.2 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anthony Cirelli or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67. Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anthony Cirelli or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Cirelli and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Cirelli's team went 6–6. Cirelli had 2 points (0 goals) and Jarvis had 5 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Cirelli or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Cirelli has won 17 and Jarvis 4 of their 21 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →