Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Eeli Tolvanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Tolvanen has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.6.
Auston Matthews has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 580, Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, High-danger chances 49.0%.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Ascension score 57, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.48 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Tolvanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 6G 8A, 47 SOG · Tolvanen 5G 2A, 21 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24)
Matthews blocked 0 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 1 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
14:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–11
- 60.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.4
- 64.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | TOR 2–5 SEA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-18 | TOR 3–4 SEA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-06 | TOR 3–1 SEA | 0G 1A 6S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-31 | TOR 4–1 SEA | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-21 | TOR 3–1 SEA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-30 | TOR 4–3 SEA | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-26 | TOR 5–1 SEA | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-05 | TOR 1–5 SEA | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-19 | TOR 3–6 NSH | 1G 1A 10S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2021-11-16 | TOR 3–0 NSH | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.6 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Eeli Tolvanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Tolvanen done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 6–4. Matthews had 14 points (6 goals) and Tolvanen had 7 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Tolvanen?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 1 and Tolvanen 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →